PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–1 TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen won 3–1.

Shots
916
Shots on target
57
Expected goals
1.532.09
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bayer 04 Leverkusen beat TSG Hoffenheim 3–1. Recorded in this match (Bayer 04 Leverkusen – TSG Hoffenheim): shots 9–16, shots on target 5–7, expected goals 1.53–2.09, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's last-five shots average is below their season average.

11.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season15.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match15.8 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

TSG Hoffenheim have a visible away split

moderate

TSG Hoffenheim's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.2 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.2 shots/match13.2 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.8 shots/match ▲ShotsBayer 04 Leverkusen · TSG Hoffenheim13.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBayer 04 LeverkusenTSG HoffenheimBaseline
Shots15.8 shots/match13.2 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against10.2 shots/match14.1 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots16 shotsBayer 04 Leverkusen 9 shots, TSG Hoffenheim 16 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots7 shotsBayer 04 Leverkusen 5 shots, TSG Hoffenheim 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.53 xG2.09 xGBayer 04 Leverkusen 1.53 xG, TSG Hoffenheim 2.09 xG
  • Possession49%51%Bayer 04 Leverkusen 49%, TSG Hoffenheim 51%
  • Corners3 corners3 cornersBayer 04 Leverkusen 3 corners, TSG Hoffenheim 3 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls7 foulsBayer 04 Leverkusen 14 fouls, TSG Hoffenheim 7 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Piero Hincapié · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 31′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDavid Jurásek · TSG Hoffenheim · 41′ · 0.01 xG · on targetEmiliano Buendía · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 64′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTom Bischof · TSG Hoffenheim · 75′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKevin Akpoguma · TSG Hoffenheim · 87′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTom Bischof · TSG Hoffenheim · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAdam Hložek · TSG Hoffenheim · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAdam Hložek · TSG Hoffenheim · 67′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTom Bischof · TSG Hoffenheim · 62′ · 0.04 xG · on targetVictor Okoh Boniface · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 15′ · 0.05 xG · goalMarius Bülter · TSG Hoffenheim · 45′ · 0.05 xG · on targetArthur Chaves · TSG Hoffenheim · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEmiliano Buendía · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 51′ · 0.06 xG · on targetFlorian Wirtz · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 65′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMarius Bülter · TSG Hoffenheim · 48′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDavid Mokwa · TSG Hoffenheim · 83′ · 0.07 xG · on targetAlexander Prass · TSG Hoffenheim · 90′ · 0.10 xG · on targetPatrik Schick · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 51′ · 0.18 xG · goalNathan Tella · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 25′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedDavid Mokwa · TSG Hoffenheim · 81′ · 0.21 xG · on targetErencan Yardımcı · TSG Hoffenheim · 34′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedJeremie Frimpong · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 19′ · 0.27 xG · goalErencan Yardımcı · TSG Hoffenheim · 62′ · 0.48 xG · off target or blockedJeremie Frimpong · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 55′ · 0.53 xG · on targetGift Orban · TSG Hoffenheim · 62′ · 0.87 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 9 shots, 5 on target, 1.36 xG. TSG Hoffenheim: 16 shots, 7 on target, 2.30 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Victor Okoh Boniface · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 15′Jeremie Frimpong · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 19′Patrik Schick · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 51′Gift Orban · TSG Hoffenheim · 62′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1.36 xG · TSG Hoffenheim 2.30 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0Draws
1TSG Hoffenheim
TSG Hoffenheim — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga1–4
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga2–1
TSG Hoffenheim — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga2–3
TSG Hoffenheim — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga1–3
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga0–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bayer 04 Leverkusen favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · TSG Hoffenheim in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bayer 04 Leverkusen20 matchesTSG Hoffenheim20 matches
2.45 goals/match ▲Goals scored20/201.3 goals/match
1.35 goals/match ▲Goals allowed20/202 goals/match
1.93 xG/match ▲Expected goals20/201.36 xG/match
15.8 shots/match ▲Shots20/2013.2 shots/match
6.35 shots/match ▲Shots on target20/204.8 shots/match
58.5% ●Possession20/2050%
6.55 corners/match ●Corners20/204.9 corners/match
8.7 fouls/matchFouls20/2011.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 2 Feb 2025, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBayer 04 LeverkusenTSG Hoffenheim
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-headBayer 04 Leverkusen — TSG Hoffenheim
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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