PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

Eintracht Frankfurt 3–1 Holstein Kiel · Bundesliga

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Eintracht Frankfurt won 3–1.

Shots
2010
Shots on target
94
Expected goals
2.471.47
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Eintracht Frankfurt beat Holstein Kiel 3–1. Recorded in this match (Eintracht Frankfurt – Holstein Kiel): shots 20–10, shots on target 9–4, expected goals 2.47–1.47, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Eintracht Frankfurt show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Eintracht Frankfurt's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.6 shots/match ▲ShotsEintracht Frankfurt · Holstein Kiel10.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricEintracht FrankfurtHolstein KielBaseline
Shots15.6 shots/match10.5 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against14.7 shots/match17.3 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Holstein Kiel's recent record differs from the season

weak

Holstein Kiel's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots8.4 shots/match10.5 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots10 shotsEintracht Frankfurt 20 shots, Holstein Kiel 10 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots4 shotsEintracht Frankfurt 9 shots, Holstein Kiel 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.47 xG1.47 xGEintracht Frankfurt 2.47 xG, Holstein Kiel 1.47 xG
  • Possession51%49%Eintracht Frankfurt 51%, Holstein Kiel 49%
  • Corners4 corners6 cornersEintracht Frankfurt 4 corners, Holstein Kiel 6 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls10 foulsEintracht Frankfurt 16 fouls, Holstein Kiel 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Lewis Holtby · Holstein Kiel · 3′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMahmoud Dahoud · Eintracht Frankfurt · 68′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedShuto Machino · Holstein Kiel · 79′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFinn Porath · Holstein Kiel · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedArthur Theate · Eintracht Frankfurt · 9′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCan Uzun · Eintracht Frankfurt · 31′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHugo Larsson · Eintracht Frankfurt · 12′ · 0.03 xG · on targetHugo Ekitiké · Eintracht Frankfurt · 67′ · 0.03 xG · on targetArthur Theate · Eintracht Frankfurt · 15′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNathaniel Brown · Eintracht Frankfurt · 23′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPhil Harres · Holstein Kiel · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHugo Ekitiké · Eintracht Frankfurt · 8′ · 0.05 xG · on targetRasmus Kristensen · Eintracht Frankfurt · 24′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMahmoud Dahoud · Eintracht Frankfurt · 84′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCan Uzun · Eintracht Frankfurt · 20′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFiete Arp · Holstein Kiel · 63′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedHugo Ekitiké · Eintracht Frankfurt · 49′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedOscar Højlund · Eintracht Frankfurt · 23′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedHugo Ekitiké · Eintracht Frankfurt · 42′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedDavid Zec · Holstein Kiel · 79′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedHugo Ekitiké · Eintracht Frankfurt · 14′ · 0.12 xG · on targetTuta · Eintracht Frankfurt · 37′ · 0.12 xG · goalHugo Larsson · Eintracht Frankfurt · 18′ · 0.17 xG · goalArmin Gigović · Holstein Kiel · 19′ · 0.23 xG · on targetFinn Porath · Holstein Kiel · 73′ · 0.24 xG · on targetHugo Ekitiké · Eintracht Frankfurt · 13′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blockedCan Uzun · Eintracht Frankfurt · 60′ · 0.43 xG · goalFinn Porath · Holstein Kiel · 73′ · 0.70 xG · goalFinn Porath · Holstein Kiel · 73′ · 0.72 xG · on targetHugo Ekitiké · Eintracht Frankfurt · 45′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Eintracht Frankfurt: 20 shots, 9 on target, 2.60 xG. Holstein Kiel: 10 shots, 4 on target, 2.13 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Hugo Larsson · Eintracht Frankfurt · 18′Tuta · Eintracht Frankfurt · 37′Can Uzun · Eintracht Frankfurt · 60′Finn Porath · Holstein Kiel · 73′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Eintracht Frankfurt 2.60 xG · Holstein Kiel 2.13 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Eintracht Frankfurt
0Draws
0Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel — Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga2–4

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Eintracht Frankfurt favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Holstein Kiel in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Eintracht Frankfurt22 matchesHolstein Kiel22 matches
2.23 goals/match ▲Goals scored22/221.55 goals/match
1.32 goals/match ▲Goals allowed22/222.59 goals/match
2 xG/match ▲Expected goals22/221.17 xG/match
15.6 shots/match ▲Shots22/2210.5 shots/match
5.86 shots/match ▲Shots on target22/224.27 shots/match
50% ●Possession22/2242.6%
5.27 corners/match ●Corners22/223.5 corners/match
10 fouls/matchFouls22/2212.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 16 Feb 2025, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsEintracht FrankfurtHolstein Kiel
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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