PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

SV Werder Bremen 1–3 TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga

1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

TSG Hoffenheim won 1–3.

Shots
1416
Shots on target
17
Expected goals
1.141.4
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

TSG Hoffenheim beat SV Werder Bremen 3–1. Recorded in this match (SV Werder Bremen – TSG Hoffenheim): shots 14–16, shots on target 1–7, expected goals 1.14–1.4, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

SV Werder Bremen's recent record differs from the season

moderate

SV Werder Bremen's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.59 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.59 goals/match1.58 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

TSG Hoffenheim have a visible away split

moderate

TSG Hoffenheim's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.7 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.7 shots/match13.5 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots16 shotsSV Werder Bremen 14 shots, TSG Hoffenheim 16 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot7 shotsSV Werder Bremen 1 shot, TSG Hoffenheim 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.14 xG1.4 xGSV Werder Bremen 1.14 xG, TSG Hoffenheim 1.4 xG
  • Possession62%38%SV Werder Bremen 62%, TSG Hoffenheim 38%
  • Corners6 corners4 cornersSV Werder Bremen 6 corners, TSG Hoffenheim 4 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls12 foulsSV Werder Bremen 14 fouls, TSG Hoffenheim 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2SV Werder Bremen
0Draws
3TSG Hoffenheim
TSG Hoffenheim — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga3–4
TSG Hoffenheim — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga2–1
SV Werder Bremen — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga2–3
SV Werder Bremen — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga1–2
TSG Hoffenheim — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SV Werder Bremen favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · TSG Hoffenheim in 2 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SV Werder Bremen22 matchesTSG Hoffenheim22 matches
1.59 goals/match ▲Goals scored22/221.32 goals/match
1.91 goals/match ▲Goals allowed22/222.05 goals/match
1.39 xG/matchExpected goals22/221.34 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots22/22▲ 13.5 shots/match
3.86 shots/matchShots on target22/22▲ 4.86 shots/match
50%Possession22/22● 50%
4.68 corners/matchCorners22/22● 5 corners/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls22/2211.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 16 Feb 2025, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSV Werder BremenTSG Hoffenheim
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-headSV Werder Bremen — TSG Hoffenheim
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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