Bundesliga · 2024

SV Werder Bremen 1–2 VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

VfL Wolfsburg won 1–2.

Shots
159
Shots on target
73
Expected goals
1.90.92
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

VfL Wolfsburg beat SV Werder Bremen 2–1. Recorded in this match (SV Werder Bremen – VfL Wolfsburg): shots 15–9, shots on target 7–3, expected goals 1.9–0.92, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

SV Werder Bremen's recent record differs from the season

moderate

SV Werder Bremen's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.54 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots9 shotsSV Werder Bremen 15 shots, VfL Wolfsburg 9 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots3 shotsSV Werder Bremen 7 shots, VfL Wolfsburg 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.9 xG0.92 xGSV Werder Bremen 1.9 xG, VfL Wolfsburg 0.92 xG
  • Possession56%44%SV Werder Bremen 56%, VfL Wolfsburg 44%
  • Corners8 corners2 cornersSV Werder Bremen 8 corners, VfL Wolfsburg 2 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls9 foulsSV Werder Bremen 13 fouls, VfL Wolfsburg 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mohamed Amoura · VfL Wolfsburg · 2′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLeonardo Bittencourt · SV Werder Bremen · 9′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSenne Lynen · SV Werder Bremen · 30′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMattias Svanberg · VfL Wolfsburg · 37′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJens Stage · SV Werder Bremen · 74′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSenne Lynen · SV Werder Bremen · 83′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAndré Silva · SV Werder Bremen · 19′ · 0.04 xG · on targetPatrick Wimmer · VfL Wolfsburg · 48′ · 0.04 xG · goalPatrick Wimmer · VfL Wolfsburg · 56′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJens Stage · SV Werder Bremen · 11′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAndré Silva · SV Werder Bremen · 19′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMitchell Weiser · SV Werder Bremen · 33′ · 0.07 xG · on targetMohamed Amoura · VfL Wolfsburg · 1′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedOliver Burke · SV Werder Bremen · 11′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAndré Silva · SV Werder Bremen · 44′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Amoura · VfL Wolfsburg · 10′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAndré Silva · SV Werder Bremen · 22′ · 0.12 xG · on targetMitchell Weiser · SV Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.14 xG · goalBence Dárdai · VfL Wolfsburg · 36′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedTiago Tomás · VfL Wolfsburg · 85′ · 0.20 xG · on targetPatrick Wimmer · VfL Wolfsburg · 6′ · 0.23 xG · goalJens Stage · SV Werder Bremen · 69′ · 0.34 xG · on targetMiloš Veljković · SV Werder Bremen · 38′ · 0.40 xG · on targetJens Stage · SV Werder Bremen · 29′ · 0.41 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

SV Werder Bremen: 15 shots, 7 on target, 1.91 xG. VfL Wolfsburg: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.93 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Mitchell Weiser · SV Werder Bremen · 90′Patrick Wimmer · VfL Wolfsburg · 6′Patrick Wimmer · VfL Wolfsburg · 48′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SV Werder Bremen 1.91 xG · VfL Wolfsburg 0.93 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2SV Werder Bremen
2Draws
1VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga2–4
SV Werder Bremen — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga0–2
VfL Wolfsburg — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga2–2
SV Werder Bremen — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga2–1
VfL Wolfsburg — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SV Werder Bremen favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · VfL Wolfsburg in 6 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SV Werder Bremen24 matchesVfL Wolfsburg24 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored24/24▲ 2 goals/match
2.04 goals/matchGoals allowed24/24▲ 1.58 goals/match
1.41 xG/matchExpected goals24/241.47 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots24/24▲ 12.5 shots/match
3.96 shots/matchShots on target24/24▲ 4.5 shots/match
50.8% ●Possession24/2443.9%
4.92 corners/match ●Corners24/244.63 corners/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls24/2410.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 1 Mar 2025, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

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