PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

VfL Bochum 1848 0–1 TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

TSG Hoffenheim won 0–1.

Shots
1210
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
0.90.59
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

TSG Hoffenheim beat VfL Bochum 1848 1–0. Recorded in this match (VfL Bochum 1848 – TSG Hoffenheim): shots 12–10, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 0.9–0.59, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

VfL Bochum 1848's recent record differs from the season

moderate

VfL Bochum 1848's last-five shots average is above their season average.

16.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots16.6 shots/match12.9 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

TSG Hoffenheim have a visible away split

moderate

TSG Hoffenheim's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.7 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.7 shots/match13.1 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots10 shotsVfL Bochum 1848 12 shots, TSG Hoffenheim 10 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsVfL Bochum 1848 3 shots, TSG Hoffenheim 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.9 xG0.59 xGVfL Bochum 1848 0.9 xG, TSG Hoffenheim 0.59 xG
  • Possession58%42%VfL Bochum 1848 58%, TSG Hoffenheim 42%
  • Corners8 corners5 cornersVfL Bochum 1848 8 corners, TSG Hoffenheim 5 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls17 foulsVfL Bochum 1848 16 fouls, TSG Hoffenheim 17 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Anton Stach · TSG Hoffenheim · 37′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMaximilian Wittek · VfL Bochum 1848 · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnton Stach · TSG Hoffenheim · 60′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTom Bischof · TSG Hoffenheim · 72′ · 0.02 xG · goalGift Orban · TSG Hoffenheim · 82′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBernardo · VfL Bochum 1848 · 86′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAnton Stach · TSG Hoffenheim · 6′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPhilipp Hofmann · VfL Bochum 1848 · 75′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFelix Passlack · VfL Bochum 1848 · 10′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMatúš Bero · VfL Bochum 1848 · 53′ · 0.04 xG · on targetBazoumana Touré · TSG Hoffenheim · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAndrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 1′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTom Krauß · VfL Bochum 1848 · 55′ · 0.05 xG · on targetTom Krauß · VfL Bochum 1848 · 65′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLeo Østigård · TSG Hoffenheim · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMax Moerstedt · TSG Hoffenheim · 1′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJakov Medić · VfL Bochum 1848 · 27′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMatúš Bero · VfL Bochum 1848 · 54′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedDani De Wit · VfL Bochum 1848 · 84′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedPhilipp Hofmann · VfL Bochum 1848 · 45′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedJakov Medić · VfL Bochum 1848 · 10′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedAndrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 40′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

VfL Bochum 1848: 12 shots, 3 on target, 0.93 xG. TSG Hoffenheim: 10 shots, 2 on target, 0.56 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Tom Bischof · TSG Hoffenheim · 72′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: VfL Bochum 1848 0.93 xG · TSG Hoffenheim 0.56 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: VfL Bochum 1848 favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · TSG Hoffenheim in 4 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

VfL Bochum 184824 matchesTSG Hoffenheim24 matches
0.96 goals/matchGoals scored24/24▲ 1.29 goals/match
1.96 goals/matchGoals allowed24/241.92 goals/match
1.25 xG/matchExpected goals23/241.3 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots23/2413.1 shots/match
3.91 shots/matchShots on target23/24▲ 4.63 shots/match
44.3%Possession23/24● 49.5%
4.57 corners/matchCorners23/24● 4.96 corners/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls23/2411.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 1 Mar 2025, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVfL Bochum 1848TSG Hoffenheim
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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