PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

FC Bayern München 2–3 VfL Bochum 1848 · Bundesliga

2–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

VfL Bochum 1848 won 2–3.

Shots
148
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
2.371.09
Possession
74%26%

Full time

What the match recorded

VfL Bochum 1848 beat FC Bayern München 3–2. Recorded in this match (FC Bayern München – VfL Bochum 1848): shots 14–8, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 2.37–1.09, possession 74%–26%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

VfL Bochum 1848's recent record differs from the season

moderate

VfL Bochum 1848's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.04 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.04 goals/match1.54 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FC Bayern München show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

FC Bayern München's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

18.7 shots/match ▲ShotsFC Bayern München · VfL Bochum 184812.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFC Bayern MünchenVfL Bochum 1848Baseline
Shots18.7 shots/match12.7 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against6.04 shots/match14.2 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

FC Bayern München have recorded the higher season possession share.

69.1% ●PossessionFC Bayern München · VfL Bochum 184843.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 25.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFC Bayern MünchenVfL Bochum 1848Baseline
Possession69.1%43.5%49.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots8 shotsFC Bayern München 14 shots, VfL Bochum 1848 8 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsFC Bayern München 5 shots, VfL Bochum 1848 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.37 xG1.09 xGFC Bayern München 2.37 xG, VfL Bochum 1848 1.09 xG
  • Possession74%26%FC Bayern München 74%, VfL Bochum 1848 26%
  • Corners9 corners3 cornersFC Bayern München 9 corners, VfL Bochum 1848 3 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls14 foulsFC Bayern München 7 fouls, VfL Bochum 1848 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Serge Gnabry · FC Bayern München · 26′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedThomas Müller · FC Bayern München · 28′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSerge Gnabry · FC Bayern München · 54′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKonrad Laimer · FC Bayern München · 68′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMichael Olise · FC Bayern München · 85′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKonrad Laimer · FC Bayern München · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 84′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIbrahima Sissoko · VfL Bochum 1848 · 47′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 88′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 79′ · 0.07 xG · on targetMaximilian Wittek · VfL Bochum 1848 · 83′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJakov Medić · VfL Bochum 1848 · 31′ · 0.09 xG · goalIbrahima Sissoko · VfL Bochum 1848 · 51′ · 0.10 xG · goalMatúš Bero · VfL Bochum 1848 · 60′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedGiorgos Masouras · VfL Bochum 1848 · 51′ · 0.13 xG · on targetEric Dier · FC Bayern München · 18′ · 0.15 xG · on targetRaphaël Guerreiro · FC Bayern München · 14′ · 0.19 xG · goalMoritz Broschinski · VfL Bochum 1848 · 84′ · 0.21 xG · on targetMatúš Bero · VfL Bochum 1848 · 71′ · 0.31 xG · goalRaphaël Guerreiro · FC Bayern München · 28′ · 0.36 xG · goalRaphaël Guerreiro · FC Bayern München · 58′ · 0.49 xG · off target or blockedSerge Gnabry · FC Bayern München · 22′ · 0.82 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Bayern München: 14 shots, 5 on target, 2.35 xG. VfL Bochum 1848: 8 shots, 5 on target, 1.08 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Raphaël Guerreiro · FC Bayern München · 14′Raphaël Guerreiro · FC Bayern München · 28′Jakov Medić · VfL Bochum 1848 · 31′Ibrahima Sissoko · VfL Bochum 1848 · 51′Matúš Bero · VfL Bochum 1848 · 71′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Bayern München 2.35 xG · VfL Bochum 1848 1.08 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Bayern München favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · VfL Bochum 1848 in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Bayern München25 matchesVfL Bochum 184825 matches
2.96 goals/match ▲Goals scored25/251.04 goals/match
0.92 goals/match ▲Goals allowed25/251.96 goals/match
2.48 xG/match ▲Expected goals25/241.24 xG/match
18.7 shots/match ▲Shots25/2412.7 shots/match
7.96 shots/match ▲Shots on target25/243.96 shots/match
69.1% ●Possession25/2443.5%
6.72 corners/match ●Corners25/244.5 corners/match
8.6 fouls/matchFouls25/2414.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 8 Mar 2025, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC Bayern MünchenVfL Bochum 1848
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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