PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2024

FC Bayern München 3–0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen · UEFA Champions League

3–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Bayern München won 3–0.

Shots
173
Shots on target
61
Expected goals
2.680.33
Possession
65%35%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Bayern München beat Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–0. Recorded in this match (FC Bayern München – Bayer 04 Leverkusen): shots 17–3, shots on target 6–1, expected goals 2.68–0.33, possession 65%–35%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen have a visible away split

moderate

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.4 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season15 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.4 shots/match15 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

FC Bayern München show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

FC Bayern München's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

21.4 shots/match ▲ShotsFC Bayern München · Bayer 04 Leverkusen15 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFC Bayern MünchenBayer 04 LeverkusenBaseline
Shots21.4 shots/match15 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against7.18 shots/match12 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

FC Bayern München's recent record differs from the season

weak

FC Bayern München's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.36 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match2.36 goals/match1.61 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots3 shotsFC Bayern München 17 shots, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots1 shotFC Bayern München 6 shots, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.68 xG0.33 xGFC Bayern München 2.68 xG, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0.33 xG
  • Possession65%35%FC Bayern München 65%, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 35%
  • Corners5 corners1 cornerFC Bayern München 5 corners, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1 corner
  • Fouls13 fouls9 foulsFC Bayern München 13 fouls, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jonathan Tah · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 41′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJoshua Kimmich · FC Bayern München · 31′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNordi Mukiele · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 41′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKingsley Coman · FC Bayern München · 25′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLeon Goretzka · FC Bayern München · 28′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlphonso Davies · FC Bayern München · 44′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMichael Olise · FC Bayern München · 70′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 44′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 9′ · 0.06 xG · goalHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 16′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 88′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJoshua Kimmich · FC Bayern München · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAlphonso Davies · FC Bayern München · 86′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDayot Upamecano · FC Bayern München · 90′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedLeon Goretzka · FC Bayern München · 6′ · 0.16 xG · on targetJoão Palhinha · FC Bayern München · 90′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedJamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 22′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedJeremie Frimpong · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 14′ · 0.30 xG · on targetJamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 54′ · 0.61 xG · goalHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 75′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Bayern München: 17 shots, 6 on target, 2.67 xG. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 3 shots, 1 on target, 0.33 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Harry Kane · FC Bayern München · 9′Jamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 54′Harry Kane · FC Bayern München · 75′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Bayern München 2.67 xG · Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0.33 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0FC Bayern München
3Draws
2Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga0–0
FC Bayern München — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga1–1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga3–0
FC Bayern München — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga2–2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Bayern München favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Bayer 04 Leverkusen in 2 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Bayern München11 matchesBayer 04 Leverkusen9 matches
2.36 goals/match ▲Goals scored11/91.67 goals/match
1.27 goals/matchGoals allowed11/9▲ 1.11 goals/match
2.59 xG/match ▲Expected goals11/91.55 xG/match
21.4 shots/match ▲Shots11/915 shots/match
8.18 shots/match ▲Shots on target11/96 shots/match
67.3% ●Possession11/956.7%
8 corners/match ●Corners11/94.44 corners/match
8.82 fouls/matchFouls11/910.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 6 Mar 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC Bayern MünchenBayer 04 Leverkusen
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2024/25
Head-to-headFC Bayern München — Bayer 04 Leverkusen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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