PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0–2 SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

SV Werder Bremen won 0–2.

Shots
1811
Shots on target
47
Expected goals
1.621.15
Possession
73%27%

Full time

What the match recorded

SV Werder Bremen beat Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–0. Recorded in this match (Bayer 04 Leverkusen – SV Werder Bremen): shots 18–11, shots on target 4–7, expected goals 1.62–1.15, possession 73%–27%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

SV Werder Bremen's recent record differs from the season

moderate

SV Werder Bremen's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.52 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.52 goals/match1.54 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

SV Werder Bremen show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

SV Werder Bremen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

16 shots/match ▲ShotsBayer 04 Leverkusen · SV Werder Bremen11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBayer 04 LeverkusenSV Werder BremenBaseline
Shots16 shots/match11.8 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against9.64 shots/match14 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Bayer 04 Leverkusen have recorded the higher season possession share.

59.2% ●PossessionBayer 04 Leverkusen · SV Werder Bremen49.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBayer 04 LeverkusenSV Werder BremenBaseline
Possession59.2%49.8%49.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots11 shotsBayer 04 Leverkusen 18 shots, SV Werder Bremen 11 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots7 shotsBayer 04 Leverkusen 4 shots, SV Werder Bremen 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.62 xG1.15 xGBayer 04 Leverkusen 1.62 xG, SV Werder Bremen 1.15 xG
  • Possession73%27%Bayer 04 Leverkusen 73%, SV Werder Bremen 27%
  • Corners10 corners3 cornersBayer 04 Leverkusen 10 corners, SV Werder Bremen 3 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls10 foulsBayer 04 Leverkusen 12 fouls, SV Werder Bremen 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jonathan Tah · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedOliver Burke · SV Werder Bremen · 30′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSenne Lynen · SV Werder Bremen · 57′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNordi Mukiele · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 74′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAmine Adli · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAmine Adli · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 22′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRomano Schmid · SV Werder Bremen · 45′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAleix García · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 68′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedExequiel Palacios · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 72′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMarco Grüll · SV Werder Bremen · 89′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJeremie Frimpong · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAndré Silva · SV Werder Bremen · 65′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAlejandro Grimaldo · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 71′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedExequiel Palacios · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 74′ · 0.04 xG · on targetPatrik Schick · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 28′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMario Hermoso · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 73′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJeremie Frimpong · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 81′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJustin Njinmah · SV Werder Bremen · 88′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAndré Silva · SV Werder Bremen · 17′ · 0.06 xG · on targetOliver Burke · SV Werder Bremen · 30′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Tah · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 77′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAndré Silva · SV Werder Bremen · 48′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAmine Adli · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 90′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedAleix García · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 45′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedAmine Adli · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 73′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedNathan Tella · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 71′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedRomano Schmid · SV Werder Bremen · 7′ · 0.26 xG · goalJustin Njinmah · SV Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.38 xG · goalEmiliano Buendía · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 26′ · 0.57 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 18 shots, 4 on target, 1.65 xG. SV Werder Bremen: 11 shots, 7 on target, 1.07 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Romano Schmid · SV Werder Bremen · 7′Justin Njinmah · SV Werder Bremen · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1.65 xG · SV Werder Bremen 1.07 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Bayer 04 Leverkusen
2Draws
0SV Werder Bremen
SV Werder Bremen — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga2–2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga5–0
SV Werder Bremen — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga0–3
SV Werder Bremen — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga2–3
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bayer 04 Leverkusen favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · SV Werder Bremen in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bayer 04 Leverkusen25 matchesSV Werder Bremen25 matches
2.2 goals/match ▲Goals scored25/251.52 goals/match
1.2 goals/match ▲Goals allowed25/251.96 goals/match
1.93 xG/match ▲Expected goals25/251.4 xG/match
16 shots/match ▲Shots25/2511.8 shots/match
6.08 shots/match ▲Shots on target25/254.08 shots/match
59.2% ●Possession25/2549.8%
6.92 corners/match ●Corners25/254.84 corners/match
9.08 fouls/matchFouls25/2510.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 8 Mar 2025, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBayer 04 LeverkusenSV Werder Bremen
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-headBayer 04 Leverkusen — SV Werder Bremen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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