PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2024

Paris Saint-Germain 0–1 Liverpool · UEFA Champions League

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Liverpool won 0–1.

Shots
272
Shots on target
101
Expected goals
1.780.27
Possession
70%30%

Full time

What the match recorded

Liverpool beat Paris Saint-Germain 1–0. Recorded in this match (Paris Saint-Germain – Liverpool): shots 27–2, shots on target 10–1, expected goals 1.78–0.27, possession 70%–30%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Paris Saint-Germain's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Paris Saint-Germain's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.18 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3.6 goals/match2.18 goals/match1.61 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Paris Saint-Germain have a visible home split

moderate

Paris Saint-Germain's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

24.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season19.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots24.5 shots/match19.3 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Paris Saint-Germain show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Paris Saint-Germain's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

19.3 shots/match ▲ShotsParis Saint-Germain · Liverpool14.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricParis Saint-GermainLiverpoolBaseline
Shots19.3 shots/match14.1 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against8.36 shots/match12.1 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots27 shots2 shotsParis Saint-Germain 27 shots, Liverpool 2 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots1 shotParis Saint-Germain 10 shots, Liverpool 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.78 xG0.27 xGParis Saint-Germain 1.78 xG, Liverpool 0.27 xG
  • Possession70%30%Paris Saint-Germain 70%, Liverpool 30%
  • Corners14 corners2 cornersParis Saint-Germain 14 corners, Liverpool 2 corners
  • Fouls3 fouls7 foulsParis Saint-Germain 3 fouls, Liverpool 7 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Vitinha · Paris Saint-Germain · 18′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDésiré Doué · Paris Saint-Germain · 71′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDésiré Doué · Paris Saint-Germain · 76′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAchraf Hakimi · Paris Saint-Germain · 24′ · 0.02 xG · on targetVitinha · Paris Saint-Germain · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAchraf Hakimi · Paris Saint-Germain · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 66′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNuno Mendes · Paris Saint-Germain · 67′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 70′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDésiré Doué · Paris Saint-Germain · 80′ · 0.02 xG · on targetKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint-Germain · 29′ · 0.03 xG · on targetOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 50′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint-Germain · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint-Germain · 56′ · 0.03 xG · on targetVitinha · Paris Saint-Germain · 84′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 84′ · 0.03 xG · on targetFabián Ruiz · Paris Saint-Germain · 8′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 20′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint-Germain · 37′ · 0.05 xG · on targetKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint-Germain · 54′ · 0.05 xG · on targetOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 42′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 58′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBradley Barcola · Paris Saint-Germain · 8′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLuis Díaz · Liverpool · 45′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedHarvey Elliott · Liverpool · 87′ · 0.15 xG · goalBradley Barcola · Paris Saint-Germain · 30′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedJoão Neves · Paris Saint-Germain · 16′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedBradley Barcola · Paris Saint-Germain · 30′ · 0.28 xG · on targetOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 30′ · 0.39 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Paris Saint-Germain: 27 shots, 10 on target, 1.81 xG. Liverpool: 2 shots, 1 on target, 0.28 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Harvey Elliott · Liverpool · 87′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Paris Saint-Germain 1.81 xG · Liverpool 0.28 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Paris Saint-Germain favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Liverpool in 3 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Paris Saint-Germain11 matchesLiverpool9 matches
2.18 goals/match ▲Goals scored11/92 goals/match
0.91 goals/matchGoals allowed11/9▲ 0.56 goals/match
2.21 xG/matchExpected goals11/92.12 xG/match
19.3 shots/match ▲Shots11/914.1 shots/match
6.91 shots/match ▲Shots on target11/96.44 shots/match
63.2% ●Possession11/951.6%
7.09 corners/match ●Corners11/94.56 corners/match
8.91 fouls/matchFouls11/910.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 6 Mar 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsParis Saint-GermainLiverpool
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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