PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Liverpool 3–1 Southampton · Premier League

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Liverpool won 3–1.

Shots
286
Shots on target
74
Expected goals
4.120.36
Possession
71%29%

Full time

What the match recorded

Liverpool beat Southampton 3–1. Recorded in this match (Liverpool – Southampton): shots 28–6, shots on target 7–4, expected goals 4.12–0.36, possession 71%–29%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Liverpool show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Liverpool's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLiverpool · Southampton9.32 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLiverpoolSouthamptonBaseline
Shots16.8 shots/match9.32 shots/match13.1 shots/match
Shots against9.62 shots/match18.4 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Southampton's recent record differs from the season

weak

Southampton's last-five shots average is below their season average.

7.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season9.32 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots7.8 shots/match9.32 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots28 shots6 shotsLiverpool 28 shots, Southampton 6 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots4 shotsLiverpool 7 shots, Southampton 4 shots
  • Expected goals4.12 xG0.36 xGLiverpool 4.12 xG, Southampton 0.36 xG
  • Possession71%29%Liverpool 71%, Southampton 29%
  • Corners6 corners4 cornersLiverpool 6 corners, Southampton 4 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls9 foulsLiverpool 10 fouls, Southampton 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mateus Fernandes · Southampton · 23′ · 0.02 xG · on targetTyler Dibling · Southampton · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHarvey Elliott · Liverpool · 47′ · 0.02 xG · on targetKamaldeen Sulemana · Southampton · 48′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTrent Alexander-Arnold · Liverpool · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuis Díaz · Liverpool · 53′ · 0.02 xG · on targetTrent Alexander-Arnold · Liverpool · 60′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHarvey Elliott · Liverpool · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHarvey Elliott · Liverpool · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCurtis Jones · Liverpool · 1′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAndy Robertson · Liverpool · 50′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAndy Robertson · Liverpool · 60′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLuis Díaz · Liverpool · 40′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTrent Alexander-Arnold · Liverpool · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLuis Díaz · Liverpool · 42′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 53′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedHarvey Elliott · Liverpool · 73′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLuis Díaz · Liverpool · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTrent Alexander-Arnold · Liverpool · 38′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 49′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedCameron Archer · Southampton · 70′ · 0.07 xG · on targetWill Smallbone · Southampton · 45′ · 0.08 xG · goalTrent Alexander-Arnold · Liverpool · 26′ · 0.09 xG · on targetDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 30′ · 0.09 xG · on targetDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 43′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedDominik Szoboszlai · Liverpool · 27′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedTaylor Harwood-Bellis · Southampton · 20′ · 0.13 xG · on targetCurtis Jones · Liverpool · 5′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 71′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 27′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedCurtis Jones · Liverpool · 27′ · 0.36 xG · off target or blockedDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 51′ · 0.39 xG · goalMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 55′ · 0.82 xG · goalMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 88′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Liverpool: 28 shots, 7 on target, 4.18 xG. Southampton: 6 shots, 4 on target, 0.34 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

02.254.50′HT90′Darwin Núñez · Liverpool · 51′Mohamed Salah · Liverpool · 55′Mohamed Salah · Liverpool · 88′Will Smallbone · Southampton · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Liverpool 4.18 xG · Southampton 0.34 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Liverpool
1Draws
0Southampton
Southampton — Liverpool · Premier League2–3
Southampton — Liverpool · Premier League4–4
Liverpool — Southampton · Premier League3–1
Southampton — Liverpool · Premier League1–2
Liverpool — Southampton · Premier League4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Liverpool favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Southampton in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Liverpool29 matchesSouthampton28 matches
2.38 goals/match ▲Goals scored29/280.71 goals/match
0.93 goals/match ▲Goals allowed29/282.43 goals/match
2.25 xG/match ▲Expected goals29/280.94 xG/match
16.8 shots/match ▲Shots29/289.32 shots/match
6.24 shots/match ▲Shots on target29/283.11 shots/match
57.3% ●Possession29/2850.3%
6.31 corners/match ●Corners29/284.25 corners/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls29/2812.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 8 Mar 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLiverpoolSouthampton
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headLiverpool — Southampton
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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