PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Brighton & Hove Albion 2–1 Fulham · Premier League

2–1Historical match

Fulham

LWWLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Brighton & Hove Albion won 2–1.

Shots
96
Shots on target
41
Expected goals
1.540.9
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Brighton & Hove Albion beat Fulham 2–1. Recorded in this match (Brighton & Hove Albion – Fulham): shots 9–6, shots on target 4–1, expected goals 1.54–0.9, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Brighton & Hove Albion's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Brighton & Hove Albion's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.64 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.64 goals/match1.54 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots6 shotsBrighton & Hove Albion 9 shots, Fulham 6 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots1 shotBrighton & Hove Albion 4 shots, Fulham 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.54 xG0.9 xGBrighton & Hove Albion 1.54 xG, Fulham 0.9 xG
  • Possession53%47%Brighton & Hove Albion 53%, Fulham 47%
  • Corners3 corners7 cornersBrighton & Hove Albion 3 corners, Fulham 7 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls12 foulsBrighton & Hove Albion 6 fouls, Fulham 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Timothy Castagne · Fulham · 11′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYankuba Minteh · Brighton & Hove Albion · 20′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRaúl Jiménez · Fulham · 53′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJan Paul van Hecke · Brighton & Hove Albion · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYasin Ayari · Brighton & Hove Albion · 13′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTimothy Castagne · Fulham · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEmile Smith Rowe · Fulham · 24′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJoão Pedro · Brighton & Hove Albion · 83′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJan Paul van Hecke · Brighton & Hove Albion · 41′ · 0.10 xG · goalJoão Pedro · Brighton & Hove Albion · 28′ · 0.11 xG · on targetJoão Pedro · Brighton & Hove Albion · 50′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedAlex Iwobi · Fulham · 79′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedDanny Welbeck · Brighton & Hove Albion · 84′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedRaúl Jiménez · Fulham · 35′ · 0.57 xG · goalJoão Pedro · Brighton & Hove Albion · 90′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Brighton & Hove Albion: 9 shots, 4 on target, 1.58 xG. Fulham: 6 shots, 1 on target, 0.94 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Jan Paul van Hecke · Brighton & Hove Albion · 41′João Pedro · Brighton & Hove Albion · 90′Raúl Jiménez · Fulham · 35′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Brighton & Hove Albion 1.58 xG · Fulham 0.94 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Brighton & Hove Albion
1Draws
4Fulham
Fulham — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League3–1
Fulham — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League3–0
Brighton & Hove Albion — Fulham · Premier League1–1
Brighton & Hove Albion — Fulham · Premier League0–1
Fulham — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Brighton & Hove Albion favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Fulham in 3 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Brighton & Hove Albion28 matchesFulham28 matches
1.64 goals/match ▲Goals scored28/281.46 goals/match
1.43 goals/matchGoals allowed28/28▲ 1.36 goals/match
1.5 xG/match ▲Expected goals28/281.38 xG/match
13.8 shots/matchShots28/2813.6 shots/match
4.86 shots/match ▲Shots on target28/284.57 shots/match
52.4%Possession28/28● 52.6%
4.93 corners/matchCorners28/28● 5.36 corners/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls28/2811.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 8 Mar 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBrighton & Hove AlbionFulham
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headBrighton & Hove Albion — Fulham
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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