PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Southampton 1–2 Wolverhampton · Premier League

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Wolverhampton won 1–2.

Shots
105
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
1.370.36
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Wolverhampton beat Southampton 2–1. Recorded in this match (Southampton – Wolverhampton): shots 10–5, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 1.37–0.36, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Southampton's recent record differs from the season

weak

Southampton's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.72 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.72 goals/match1.56 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Wolverhampton show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Wolverhampton's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.34 shots/match ▲ShotsSouthampton · Wolverhampton10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSouthamptonWolverhamptonBaseline
Shots9.34 shots/match10.9 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against17.9 shots/match13.2 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots5 shotsSouthampton 10 shots, Wolverhampton 5 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsSouthampton 3 shots, Wolverhampton 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.37 xG0.36 xGSouthampton 1.37 xG, Wolverhampton 0.36 xG
  • Possession59%41%Southampton 59%, Wolverhampton 41%
  • Corners5 corners1 cornerSouthampton 5 corners, Wolverhampton 1 corner
  • Fouls12 fouls13 foulsSouthampton 12 fouls, Wolverhampton 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Lesley Ugochukwu · Southampton · 7′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRayan Aït-Nouri · Wolverhampton · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTaylor Harwood-Bellis · Southampton · 43′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYukinari Sugawara · Southampton · 59′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRayan Aït-Nouri · Wolverhampton · 44′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJoe Aribo · Southampton · 14′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTyler Dibling · Southampton · 75′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJoe Aribo · Southampton · 17′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJørgen Strand Larsen · Wolverhampton · 47′ · 0.08 xG · goalTyler Dibling · Southampton · 62′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJørgen Strand Larsen · Wolverhampton · 19′ · 0.11 xG · goalJoão Gomes · Wolverhampton · 71′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedPaul Onuachu · Southampton · 60′ · 0.16 xG · on targetTyler Dibling · Southampton · 63′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedPaul Onuachu · Southampton · 75′ · 0.70 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Southampton: 10 shots, 3 on target, 1.38 xG. Wolverhampton: 5 shots, 3 on target, 0.37 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Paul Onuachu · Southampton · 75′Jørgen Strand Larsen · Wolverhampton · 19′Jørgen Strand Larsen · Wolverhampton · 47′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Southampton 1.38 xG · Wolverhampton 0.37 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Southampton
0Draws
5Wolverhampton
Wolverhampton — Southampton · Premier League2–0
Southampton — Wolverhampton · Premier League1–2
Wolverhampton — Southampton · Premier League1–0
Wolverhampton — Southampton · Premier League3–1
Southampton — Wolverhampton · Premier League0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Southampton favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Wolverhampton in 10

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Southampton29 matchesWolverhampton29 matches
0.72 goals/matchGoals scored29/29▲ 1.38 goals/match
2.41 goals/matchGoals allowed29/29▲ 2 goals/match
0.95 xG/matchExpected goals29/29▲ 1.1 xG/match
9.34 shots/matchShots29/29▲ 10.9 shots/match
3.1 shots/matchShots on target29/29▲ 4.31 shots/match
50.6% ●Possession29/2947.9%
4.28 corners/match ●Corners29/293.55 corners/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls29/2913 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 15 Mar 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSouthamptonWolverhampton
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headSouthampton — Wolverhampton
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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