PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

Stade Rennais 1–4 Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 1

1–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Paris Saint-Germain won 1–4.

Shots
1319
Shots on target
39
Expected goals
1.753.85
Possession
32%68%

Full time

What the match recorded

Paris Saint-Germain beat Stade Rennais 4–1. Recorded in this match (Stade Rennais – Paris Saint-Germain): shots 13–19, shots on target 3–9, expected goals 1.75–3.85, possession 32%–68%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Stade Rennais's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Stade Rennais's last-five shots average is above their season average.

15.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots15.8 shots/match12.6 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Paris Saint-Germain show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Paris Saint-Germain's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.6 shots/match ▲ShotsStade Rennais · Paris Saint-Germain18.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricStade RennaisParis Saint-GermainBaseline
Shots12.6 shots/match18.5 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against11.1 shots/match9.4 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Paris Saint-Germain have recorded the higher season possession share.

50.2%PossessionStade Rennais · Paris Saint-Germain● 68.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 18.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricStade RennaisParis Saint-GermainBaseline
Possession50.2%68.4%47.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots19 shotsStade Rennais 13 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 19 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots9 shotsStade Rennais 3 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 9 shots
  • Expected goals1.75 xG3.85 xGStade Rennais 1.75 xG, Paris Saint-Germain 3.85 xG
  • Possession32%68%Stade Rennais 32%, Paris Saint-Germain 68%
  • Corners3 corners2 cornersStade Rennais 3 corners, Paris Saint-Germain 2 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls6 foulsStade Rennais 11 fouls, Paris Saint-Germain 6 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Arnaud Kalimuendo · Stade Rennais · 27′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBradley Barcola · Paris Saint-Germain · 39′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSenny Mayulu · Paris Saint-Germain · 48′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint-Germain · 67′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedArnaud Kalimuendo · Stade Rennais · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIsmael Koné · Stade Rennais · 63′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDésiré Doué · Paris Saint-Germain · 25′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBradley Barcola · Paris Saint-Germain · 54′ · 0.04 xG · on targetDésiré Doué · Paris Saint-Germain · 76′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLorenz Assignon · Stade Rennais · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMousa Tamari · Stade Rennais · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJoão Neves · Paris Saint-Germain · 4′ · 0.06 xG · on targetWarren Zaïre-Emery · Paris Saint-Germain · 24′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Kader Meite · Stade Rennais · 59′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 90′ · 0.06 xG · goalOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Blas · Stade Rennais · 79′ · 0.08 xG · on targetLudovic Blas · Stade Rennais · 30′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint-Germain · 66′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedKang-in Lee · Paris Saint-Germain · 38′ · 0.13 xG · on targetMohamed Kader Meite · Stade Rennais · 41′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 85′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Kader Meite · Stade Rennais · 57′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Kader Meite · Stade Rennais · 73′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedArnaud Kalimuendo · Stade Rennais · 52′ · 0.22 xG · on targetGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint-Germain · 27′ · 0.27 xG · on targetGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint-Germain · 50′ · 0.28 xG · goalBradley Barcola · Paris Saint-Germain · 27′ · 0.34 xG · goalOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 90′ · 0.53 xG · goalLilian Brassier · Stade Rennais · 53′ · 0.76 xG · goalOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 87′ · 0.77 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint-Germain · 38′ · 0.89 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Stade Rennais: 13 shots, 3 on target, 1.81 xG. Paris Saint-Germain: 19 shots, 9 on target, 3.86 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0240′HT90′Lilian Brassier · Stade Rennais · 53′Bradley Barcola · Paris Saint-Germain · 27′Gonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint-Germain · 50′Ousmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 90′Ousmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Stade Rennais 1.81 xG · Paris Saint-Germain 3.86 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Stade Rennais
1Draws
2Paris Saint-Germain
Paris Saint-Germain — Stade Rennais · Ligue 13–1
Paris Saint-Germain — Stade Rennais · Ligue 11–1
Stade Rennais — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 11–3
Paris Saint-Germain — Stade Rennais · Ligue 10–2
Stade Rennais — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 11–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Stade Rennais favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Paris Saint-Germain in 9 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Stade Rennais25 matchesParis Saint-Germain25 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored25/25▲ 2.8 goals/match
1.44 goals/matchGoals allowed25/25▲ 0.96 goals/match
1.43 xG/matchExpected goals25/25▲ 2.7 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShots25/25▲ 18.5 shots/match
4.8 shots/matchShots on target25/25▲ 8.44 shots/match
50.2%Possession25/25● 68.4%
5.08 corners/matchCorners25/25● 6.4 corners/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls25/258.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 8 Mar 2025, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsStade RennaisParis Saint-Germain
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
Head-to-headStade Rennais — Paris Saint-Germain
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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