PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

Eintracht Frankfurt 1–4 Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga

1–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen won 1–4.

Shots
720
Shots on target
39
Expected goals
1.082.4
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bayer 04 Leverkusen beat Eintracht Frankfurt 4–1. Recorded in this match (Eintracht Frankfurt – Bayer 04 Leverkusen): shots 7–20, shots on target 3–9, expected goals 1.08–2.4, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Eintracht Frankfurt's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Eintracht Frankfurt's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.08 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match2.08 goals/match1.54 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.9 shots/match ▲ShotsEintracht Frankfurt · Bayer 04 Leverkusen16 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricEintracht FrankfurtBayer 04 LeverkusenBaseline
Shots14.9 shots/match16 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against15.1 shots/match9.58 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Bayer 04 Leverkusen have recorded the higher season possession share.

49%PossessionEintracht Frankfurt · Bayer 04 Leverkusen● 58.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricEintracht FrankfurtBayer 04 LeverkusenBaseline
Possession49%58.6%49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots20 shotsEintracht Frankfurt 7 shots, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 20 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots9 shotsEintracht Frankfurt 3 shots, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 9 shots
  • Expected goals1.08 xG2.4 xGEintracht Frankfurt 1.08 xG, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2.4 xG
  • Possession40%60%Eintracht Frankfurt 40%, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 60%
  • Corners2 corners6 cornersEintracht Frankfurt 2 corners, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 6 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls7 foulsEintracht Frankfurt 9 fouls, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 7 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Florian Wirtz · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 39′ · 0.02 xG · on targetElye Wahi · Eintracht Frankfurt · 50′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAlejandro Grimaldo · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 61′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRobin Koch · Eintracht Frankfurt · 4′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPatrik Schick · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 12′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAmine Adli · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 60′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAleix García · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 62′ · 0.03 xG · goalNathan Tella · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 12′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHugo Ekitiké · Eintracht Frankfurt · 41′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHugo Ekitiké · Eintracht Frankfurt · 65′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAleix García · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 5′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Wirtz · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 9′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJonas Hofmann · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedHugo Ekitiké · Eintracht Frankfurt · 88′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedHugo Ekitiké · Eintracht Frankfurt · 11′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedPatrik Schick · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 38′ · 0.09 xG · on targetFlorian Wirtz · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 25′ · 0.10 xG · on targetNathan Tella · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 26′ · 0.10 xG · goalPatrik Schick · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 33′ · 0.11 xG · goalEmiliano Buendía · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedVictor Okoh Boniface · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 90′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedMario Hermoso · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 29′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedNathan Tella · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 29′ · 0.23 xG · on targetNordi Mukiele · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 29′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedNordi Mukiele · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 29′ · 0.28 xG · goalPatrik Schick · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 5′ · 0.39 xG · off target or blockedHugo Ekitiké · Eintracht Frankfurt · 37′ · 0.79 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Eintracht Frankfurt: 7 shots, 3 on target, 1.11 xG. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 20 shots, 9 on target, 2.42 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Hugo Ekitiké · Eintracht Frankfurt · 37′Nathan Tella · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 26′Nordi Mukiele · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 29′Patrik Schick · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 33′Aleix García · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 62′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Eintracht Frankfurt 1.11 xG · Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2.42 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Eintracht Frankfurt
0Draws
4Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga2–1
Eintracht Frankfurt — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga1–5
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga3–0
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga3–1
Eintracht Frankfurt — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga5–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Eintracht Frankfurt favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Bayer 04 Leverkusen in 9 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Eintracht Frankfurt24 matchesBayer 04 Leverkusen24 matches
2.08 goals/matchGoals scored24/24▲ 2.29 goals/match
1.54 goals/matchGoals allowed24/24▲ 1.17 goals/match
1.9 xG/matchExpected goals24/241.94 xG/match
14.9 shots/matchShots24/24▲ 16 shots/match
5.58 shots/matchShots on target24/24▲ 6.17 shots/match
49%Possession24/24● 58.6%
4.96 corners/matchCorners24/24● 6.79 corners/match
9.88 fouls/matchFouls24/248.96 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 1 Mar 2025, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsEintracht FrankfurtBayer 04 Leverkusen
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-headEintracht Frankfurt — Bayer 04 Leverkusen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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