PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

TSG Hoffenheim 1–1 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

TSG Hoffenheim and 1. FC Heidenheim drew 1–1.

Shots
1623
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
1.151.25
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

TSG Hoffenheim and 1. FC Heidenheim drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (TSG Hoffenheim – 1. FC Heidenheim): shots 16–23, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 1.15–1.25, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FC Heidenheim's recent record differs from the season

moderate

1. FC Heidenheim's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.12 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.12 goals/match1.54 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

TSG Hoffenheim have a visible home split

moderate

TSG Hoffenheim's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.6 shots/match13.2 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots23 shotsTSG Hoffenheim 16 shots, 1. FC Heidenheim 23 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsTSG Hoffenheim 3 shots, 1. FC Heidenheim 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.15 xG1.25 xGTSG Hoffenheim 1.15 xG, 1. FC Heidenheim 1.25 xG
  • Possession55%45%TSG Hoffenheim 55%, 1. FC Heidenheim 45%
  • Corners6 corners4 cornersTSG Hoffenheim 6 corners, 1. FC Heidenheim 4 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls11 foulsTSG Hoffenheim 9 fouls, 1. FC Heidenheim 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Patrick Mainka · 1. FC Heidenheim · 52′ · 0.00 xG · on targetMarvin Pieringer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 71′ · 0.00 xG · on targetValentin Gendrey · TSG Hoffenheim · 10′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTom Bischof · TSG Hoffenheim · 14′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHaris Tabaković · TSG Hoffenheim · 34′ · 0.01 xG · goalMathias Honsak · 1. FC Heidenheim · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTom Bischof · TSG Hoffenheim · 48′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAdrian Beck · 1. FC Heidenheim · 90′ · 0.01 xG · on targetOmar Haktab Traore · 1. FC Heidenheim · 19′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 33′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFinn Ole Becker · TSG Hoffenheim · 45′ · 0.02 xG · on targetOmar Haktab Traore · 1. FC Heidenheim · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBenedikt Gimber · 1. FC Heidenheim · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAdrian Beck · 1. FC Heidenheim · 71′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKevin Akpoguma · TSG Hoffenheim · 80′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHaris Tabaković · TSG Hoffenheim · 84′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedArthur Chaves · TSG Hoffenheim · 84′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Mainka · 1. FC Heidenheim · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Mainka · 1. FC Heidenheim · 52′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBenedikt Gimber · 1. FC Heidenheim · 54′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Pieringer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBudu Zivzivadze · 1. FC Heidenheim · 68′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPaul Wanner · 1. FC Heidenheim · 76′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTom Bischof · TSG Hoffenheim · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarnon Busch · 1. FC Heidenheim · 17′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAdrian Beck · 1. FC Heidenheim · 54′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBudu Zivzivadze · 1. FC Heidenheim · 65′ · 0.04 xG · goalAndrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 70′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAdrian Beck · 1. FC Heidenheim · 73′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Pieringer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 74′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPavel Kadeřábek · TSG Hoffenheim · 44′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAdrian Beck · 1. FC Heidenheim · 63′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBazoumana Touré · TSG Hoffenheim · 81′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedOmar Haktab Traore · 1. FC Heidenheim · 87′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedHaris Tabaković · TSG Hoffenheim · 44′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedJan Schöppner · 1. FC Heidenheim · 77′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedAndrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 90′ · 0.36 xG · off target or blockedPaul Wanner · 1. FC Heidenheim · 76′ · 0.37 xG · on targetGift Orban · TSG Hoffenheim · 40′ · 0.46 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

TSG Hoffenheim: 16 shots, 3 on target, 1.33 xG. 1. FC Heidenheim: 23 shots, 5 on target, 1.22 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Haris Tabaković · TSG Hoffenheim · 34′Budu Zivzivadze · 1. FC Heidenheim · 65′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: TSG Hoffenheim 1.33 xG · 1. FC Heidenheim 1.22 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1TSG Hoffenheim
2Draws
01. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga0–0
TSG Hoffenheim — 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga1–1
1. FC Heidenheim — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: TSG Hoffenheim favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FC Heidenheim in 3 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

TSG Hoffenheim25 matches1. FC Heidenheim25 matches
1.28 goals/match ▲Goals scored25/251.12 goals/match
1.88 goals/match ▲Goals allowed25/252.04 goals/match
1.29 xG/matchExpected goals25/251.23 xG/match
13.2 shots/match ▲Shots25/2512 shots/match
4.56 shots/match ▲Shots on target25/254 shots/match
49.7% ●Possession25/2543.1%
5 corners/match ●Corners25/254.04 corners/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls25/2511.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Mar 2025, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsTSG Hoffenheim1. FC Heidenheim
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-headTSG Hoffenheim — 1. FC Heidenheim
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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