PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

Eintracht Frankfurt 1–2 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

1. FC Union Berlin won 1–2.

Shots
1411
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
1.950.89
Possession
67%33%

Full time

What the match recorded

1. FC Union Berlin beat Eintracht Frankfurt 2–1. Recorded in this match (Eintracht Frankfurt – 1. FC Union Berlin): shots 14–11, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 1.95–0.89, possession 67%–33%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FC Union Berlin's recent record differs from the season

moderate

1. FC Union Berlin's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.88 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.88 goals/match1.54 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots11 shotsEintracht Frankfurt 14 shots, 1. FC Union Berlin 11 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsEintracht Frankfurt 3 shots, 1. FC Union Berlin 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.95 xG0.89 xGEintracht Frankfurt 1.95 xG, 1. FC Union Berlin 0.89 xG
  • Possession67%33%Eintracht Frankfurt 67%, 1. FC Union Berlin 33%
  • Corners1 corner5 cornersEintracht Frankfurt 1 corner, 1. FC Union Berlin 5 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls8 foulsEintracht Frankfurt 10 fouls, 1. FC Union Berlin 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Can Uzun · Eintracht Frankfurt · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRasmus Kristensen · Eintracht Frankfurt · 67′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedElye Wahi · Eintracht Frankfurt · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndrej Ilić · 1. FC Union Berlin · 19′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFarès Chaïbi · Eintracht Frankfurt · 25′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJean-Mattéo Bahoya · Eintracht Frankfurt · 26′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFarès Chaïbi · Eintracht Frankfurt · 42′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJosip Juranović · 1. FC Union Berlin · 70′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRasmus Kristensen · Eintracht Frankfurt · 13′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTim Skarke · 1. FC Union Berlin · 21′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJanik Haberer · 1. FC Union Berlin · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRasmus Kristensen · Eintracht Frankfurt · 48′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLeopold Querfeld · 1. FC Union Berlin · 65′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLeopold Querfeld · 1. FC Union Berlin · 62′ · 0.07 xG · goalHugo Larsson · Eintracht Frankfurt · 63′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAndrej Ilić · 1. FC Union Berlin · 62′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedHugo Ekitiké · Eintracht Frankfurt · 67′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedBenedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 68′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAndrej Ilić · 1. FC Union Berlin · 56′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMichy Batshuayi · Eintracht Frankfurt · 39′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedWoo-Yeong Jeong · 1. FC Union Berlin · 78′ · 0.14 xG · goalDiogo Leite · 1. FC Union Berlin · 73′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedElye Wahi · Eintracht Frankfurt · 90′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedMichy Batshuayi · Eintracht Frankfurt · 13′ · 0.41 xG · goalHugo Ekitiké · Eintracht Frankfurt · 90′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Eintracht Frankfurt: 14 shots, 3 on target, 2.02 xG. 1. FC Union Berlin: 11 shots, 3 on target, 0.90 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Michy Batshuayi · Eintracht Frankfurt · 13′Leopold Querfeld · 1. FC Union Berlin · 62′Woo-Yeong Jeong · 1. FC Union Berlin · 78′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Eintracht Frankfurt 2.02 xG · 1. FC Union Berlin 0.90 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Eintracht Frankfurt
2Draws
11. FC Union Berlin
1. FC Union Berlin — Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga1–1
Eintracht Frankfurt — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga0–0
1. FC Union Berlin — Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga0–3
1. FC Union Berlin — Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga2–0
Eintracht Frankfurt — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Eintracht Frankfurt favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FC Union Berlin in 5 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Eintracht Frankfurt25 matches1. FC Union Berlin25 matches
2.04 goals/match ▲Goals scored25/250.88 goals/match
1.56 goals/matchGoals allowed25/251.52 goals/match
1.91 xG/match ▲Expected goals25/241.13 xG/match
14.8 shots/match ▲Shots25/2412.8 shots/match
5.48 shots/match ▲Shots on target25/243.63 shots/match
49.8% ●Possession25/2441.9%
4.8 corners/matchCorners25/24● 4.92 corners/match
9.88 fouls/matchFouls25/2413 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Mar 2025, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsEintracht Frankfurt1. FC Union Berlin
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-headEintracht Frankfurt — 1. FC Union Berlin
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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