PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

VfL Wolfsburg 0–1 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

1. FC Heidenheim won 0–1.

Shots
1111
Shots on target
24
Expected goals
1.271.34
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

1. FC Heidenheim beat VfL Wolfsburg 1–0. Recorded in this match (VfL Wolfsburg – 1. FC Heidenheim): shots 11–11, shots on target 2–4, expected goals 1.27–1.34, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

VfL Wolfsburg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

VfL Wolfsburg's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.81 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.81 goals/match1.56 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots11 shotsVfL Wolfsburg 11 shots, 1. FC Heidenheim 11 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots4 shotsVfL Wolfsburg 2 shots, 1. FC Heidenheim 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.27 xG1.34 xGVfL Wolfsburg 1.27 xG, 1. FC Heidenheim 1.34 xG
  • Possession61%39%VfL Wolfsburg 61%, 1. FC Heidenheim 39%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersVfL Wolfsburg 4 corners, 1. FC Heidenheim 5 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls10 foulsVfL Wolfsburg 8 fouls, 1. FC Heidenheim 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Joakim Mæhle · VfL Wolfsburg · 5′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJan Schöppner · 1. FC Heidenheim · 6′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAdrian Beck · 1. FC Heidenheim · 48′ · 0.03 xG · on targetBudu Zivzivadze · 1. FC Heidenheim · 49′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBudu Zivzivadze · 1. FC Heidenheim · 56′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNiklas Dorsch · 1. FC Heidenheim · 81′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLukas Nmecha · VfL Wolfsburg · 82′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Wimmer · VfL Wolfsburg · 68′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Arnold · VfL Wolfsburg · 34′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAdrian Beck · 1. FC Heidenheim · 60′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBudu Zivzivadze · 1. FC Heidenheim · 53′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJakub Kamiński · VfL Wolfsburg · 74′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLukas Nmecha · VfL Wolfsburg · 76′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMarvin Pieringer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 48′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedBudu Zivzivadze · 1. FC Heidenheim · 89′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJonas Wind · VfL Wolfsburg · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedLukas Nmecha · VfL Wolfsburg · 77′ · 0.12 xG · on targetMarvin Pieringer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 90′ · 0.12 xG · on targetPatrick Wimmer · VfL Wolfsburg · 45′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedYannick Gerhardt · VfL Wolfsburg · 90′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedLukas Nmecha · VfL Wolfsburg · 88′ · 0.52 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Pieringer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 16′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

VfL Wolfsburg: 11 shots, 2 on target, 1.35 xG. 1. FC Heidenheim: 11 shots, 4 on target, 1.40 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Marvin Pieringer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 16′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: VfL Wolfsburg 1.35 xG · 1. FC Heidenheim 1.40 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2VfL Wolfsburg
1Draws
01. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga1–3
1. FC Heidenheim — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga1–1
VfL Wolfsburg — 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: VfL Wolfsburg favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FC Heidenheim in 1 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

VfL Wolfsburg27 matches1. FC Heidenheim27 matches
1.81 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/271.19 goals/match
1.52 goals/match ▲Goals allowed27/271.93 goals/match
1.45 xG/match ▲Expected goals27/271.25 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShots27/2712.1 shots/match
4.3 shots/match ▲Shots on target27/274.04 shots/match
45.5% ●Possession27/2742.8%
4.63 corners/match ●Corners27/274.04 corners/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls27/2711.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 29 Mar 2025, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVfL Wolfsburg1. FC Heidenheim
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-headVfL Wolfsburg — 1. FC Heidenheim
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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