PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

1. FC Heidenheim 0–4 FC Bayern München · Bundesliga

0–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Bayern München won 0–4.

Shots
418
Shots on target
111
Expected goals
0.672.99
Possession
32%68%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Bayern München beat 1. FC Heidenheim 4–0. Recorded in this match (1. FC Heidenheim – FC Bayern München): shots 4–18, shots on target 1–11, expected goals 0.67–2.99, possession 32%–68%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FC Heidenheim show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

1. FC Heidenheim's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.8 shots/match ▲Shots1. FC Heidenheim · FC Bayern München19 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric1. FC HeidenheimFC Bayern MünchenBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match19 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against13.4 shots/match6.3 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

FC Bayern München have recorded the higher season possession share.

43.1%Possession1. FC Heidenheim · FC Bayern München● 69.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 26.1 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric1. FC HeidenheimFC Bayern MünchenBaseline
Possession43.1%69.1%49.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

1. FC Heidenheim's recent record differs from the season

moderate

1. FC Heidenheim's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.07 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.07 goals/match1.59 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots4 shots18 shots1. FC Heidenheim 4 shots, FC Bayern München 18 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot11 shots1. FC Heidenheim 1 shot, FC Bayern München 11 shots
  • Expected goals0.67 xG2.99 xG1. FC Heidenheim 0.67 xG, FC Bayern München 2.99 xG
  • Possession32%68%1. FC Heidenheim 32%, FC Bayern München 68%
  • Corners4 corners4 corners1. FC Heidenheim 4 corners, FC Bayern München 4 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls11 fouls1. FC Heidenheim 8 fouls, FC Bayern München 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Adrian Beck · 1. FC Heidenheim · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAdrian Beck · 1. FC Heidenheim · 81′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 29′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMichael Olise · FC Bayern München · 42′ · 0.05 xG · on targetSerge Gnabry · FC Bayern München · 62′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKingsley Coman · FC Bayern München · 36′ · 0.06 xG · goalHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 13′ · 0.07 xG · goalRaphaël Guerreiro · FC Bayern München · 14′ · 0.08 xG · on targetKonrad Laimer · FC Bayern München · 43′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 59′ · 0.10 xG · on targetGabriel Vidović · FC Bayern München · 87′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 25′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedJoshua Kimmich · FC Bayern München · 56′ · 0.12 xG · goalLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 79′ · 0.16 xG · on targetSirlord Conteh · 1. FC Heidenheim · 33′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedSirlord Conteh · 1. FC Heidenheim · 65′ · 0.32 xG · on targetMichael Olise · FC Bayern München · 61′ · 0.33 xG · on targetKonrad Laimer · FC Bayern München · 19′ · 0.36 xG · goalMichael Olise · FC Bayern München · 29′ · 0.37 xG · on targetRaphaël Guerreiro · FC Bayern München · 36′ · 0.40 xG · on targetHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 22′ · 0.70 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

1. FC Heidenheim: 4 shots, 1 on target, 0.57 xG. FC Bayern München: 18 shots, 11 on target, 3.27 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Harry Kane · FC Bayern München · 13′Konrad Laimer · FC Bayern München · 19′Kingsley Coman · FC Bayern München · 36′Joshua Kimmich · FC Bayern München · 56′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: 1. FC Heidenheim 0.57 xG · FC Bayern München 3.27 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

11. FC Heidenheim
0Draws
2FC Bayern München
FC Bayern München — 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga4–2
1. FC Heidenheim — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga3–2
FC Bayern München — 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga4–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FC Heidenheim favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · FC Bayern München in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FC Heidenheim30 matchesFC Bayern München30 matches
1.07 goals/matchGoals scored30/30▲ 2.9 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed30/30▲ 0.97 goals/match
1.22 xG/matchExpected goals30/30▲ 2.48 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots30/30▲ 19 shots/match
3.83 shots/matchShots on target30/30▲ 8.03 shots/match
43.1%Possession30/30● 69.1%
4 corners/matchCorners30/30● 6.7 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls30/308.77 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 19 Apr 2025, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
Teams1. FC HeidenheimFC Bayern München
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-head1. FC Heidenheim — FC Bayern München
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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