Bundesliga · 2024

SC Freiburg 3–2 TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga

3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

SC Freiburg won 3–2.

Shots
1219
Shots on target
66
Expected goals
1.291.68
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

SC Freiburg beat TSG Hoffenheim 3–2. Recorded in this match (SC Freiburg – TSG Hoffenheim): shots 12–19, shots on target 6–6, expected goals 1.29–1.68, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

SC Freiburg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

SC Freiburg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.43 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.43 goals/match1.59 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

TSG Hoffenheim have a visible away split

moderate

TSG Hoffenheim's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.7 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.7 shots/match12.8 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots19 shotsSC Freiburg 12 shots, TSG Hoffenheim 19 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots6 shotsSC Freiburg 6 shots, TSG Hoffenheim 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.29 xG1.68 xGSC Freiburg 1.29 xG, TSG Hoffenheim 1.68 xG
  • Possession39%61%SC Freiburg 39%, TSG Hoffenheim 61%
  • Corners2 corners6 cornersSC Freiburg 2 corners, TSG Hoffenheim 6 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls13 foulsSC Freiburg 14 fouls, TSG Hoffenheim 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Kevin Akpoguma · TSG Hoffenheim · 66′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAnton Stach · TSG Hoffenheim · 87′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHaris Tabaković · TSG Hoffenheim · 4′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarius Bülter · TSG Hoffenheim · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRitsu Doan · SC Freiburg · 36′ · 0.03 xG · goalPatrick Osterhage · SC Freiburg · 41′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDennis Geiger · TSG Hoffenheim · 67′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAndrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 8′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Eggestein · SC Freiburg · 41′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarius Bülter · TSG Hoffenheim · 45′ · 0.04 xG · goalAdam Hložek · TSG Hoffenheim · 78′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDennis Geiger · TSG Hoffenheim · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Eggestein · SC Freiburg · 14′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMatthias Ginter · SC Freiburg · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAndrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 45′ · 0.05 xG · goalMatthias Ginter · SC Freiburg · 77′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPavel Kadeřábek · TSG Hoffenheim · 81′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAndrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 4′ · 0.07 xG · on targetTom Bischof · TSG Hoffenheim · 60′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAnton Stach · TSG Hoffenheim · 24′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLukas Kübler · SC Freiburg · 44′ · 0.08 xG · on targetAndrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 89′ · 0.08 xG · on targetJohan Manzambi · SC Freiburg · 14′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedBazoumana Touré · TSG Hoffenheim · 24′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJohan Manzambi · SC Freiburg · 56′ · 0.10 xG · on targetJohan Manzambi · SC Freiburg · 19′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedLucas Höler · SC Freiburg · 28′ · 0.20 xG · goalHaris Tabaković · TSG Hoffenheim · 67′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedAndrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 24′ · 0.29 xG · on targetLucas Höler · SC Freiburg · 57′ · 0.38 xG · goalAndrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 24′ · 0.60 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

SC Freiburg: 12 shots, 6 on target, 1.31 xG. TSG Hoffenheim: 19 shots, 6 on target, 1.88 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Lucas Höler · SC Freiburg · 28′Ritsu Doan · SC Freiburg · 36′Lucas Höler · SC Freiburg · 57′Marius Bülter · TSG Hoffenheim · 45′Andrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SC Freiburg 1.31 xG · TSG Hoffenheim 1.88 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3SC Freiburg
2Draws
0TSG Hoffenheim
TSG Hoffenheim — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga1–1
SC Freiburg — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga3–2
TSG Hoffenheim — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga1–2
SC Freiburg — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga2–1
TSG Hoffenheim — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SC Freiburg favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · TSG Hoffenheim in 0 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SC Freiburg30 matchesTSG Hoffenheim30 matches
1.43 goals/match ▲Goals scored30/301.27 goals/match
1.57 goals/match ▲Goals allowed30/301.83 goals/match
1.35 xG/matchExpected goals30/301.28 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShots30/3012.8 shots/match
4.47 shots/matchShots on target30/304.47 shots/match
49%Possession30/30● 49.6%
3.9 corners/matchCorners30/30● 4.7 corners/match
9.03 fouls/matchFouls30/3011.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 19 Apr 2025, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

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