PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

SV Werder Bremen 1–0 VfL Bochum 1848 · Bundesliga

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

SV Werder Bremen won 1–0.

Shots
1412
Shots on target
41
Expected goals
2.270.46
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

SV Werder Bremen beat VfL Bochum 1848 1–0. Recorded in this match (SV Werder Bremen – VfL Bochum 1848): shots 14–12, shots on target 4–1, expected goals 2.27–0.46, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

VfL Bochum 1848's recent record differs from the season

moderate

VfL Bochum 1848's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.97 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.97 goals/match1.59 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

VfL Bochum 1848 have a visible away split

moderate

VfL Bochum 1848's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.9 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.9 shots/match13 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots12 shotsSV Werder Bremen 14 shots, VfL Bochum 1848 12 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots1 shotSV Werder Bremen 4 shots, VfL Bochum 1848 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.27 xG0.46 xGSV Werder Bremen 2.27 xG, VfL Bochum 1848 0.46 xG
  • Possession48%52%SV Werder Bremen 48%, VfL Bochum 1848 52%
  • Corners2 corners7 cornersSV Werder Bremen 2 corners, VfL Bochum 1848 7 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls20 foulsSV Werder Bremen 9 fouls, VfL Bochum 1848 20 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Gerrit Holtmann · VfL Bochum 1848 · 11′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAmos Pieper · SV Werder Bremen · 9′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMaximilian Wittek · VfL Bochum 1848 · 22′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGerrit Holtmann · VfL Bochum 1848 · 60′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Wittek · VfL Bochum 1848 · 23′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen · 47′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPhilipp Hofmann · VfL Bochum 1848 · 61′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarco Grüll · SV Werder Bremen · 73′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTim Oermann · VfL Bochum 1848 · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKeke Topp · SV Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Bamba · VfL Bochum 1848 · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLeonardo Bittencourt · SV Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetPhilipp Hofmann · VfL Bochum 1848 · 19′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMitchell Weiser · SV Werder Bremen · 32′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPhilipp Hofmann · VfL Bochum 1848 · 49′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLeonardo Bittencourt · SV Werder Bremen · 76′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen · 20′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPhilipp Hofmann · VfL Bochum 1848 · 28′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPhilipp Hofmann · VfL Bochum 1848 · 8′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJustin Njinmah · SV Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJustin Njinmah · SV Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMarco Friedl · SV Werder Bremen · 32′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedPhilipp Hofmann · VfL Bochum 1848 · 28′ · 0.23 xG · on targetJustin Njinmah · SV Werder Bremen · 70′ · 0.25 xG · on targetMarvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen · 5′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedMitchell Weiser · SV Werder Bremen · 80′ · 0.46 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

SV Werder Bremen: 14 shots, 4 on target, 1.78 xG. VfL Bochum 1848: 12 shots, 1 on target, 0.69 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Mitchell Weiser · SV Werder Bremen · 80′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SV Werder Bremen 1.78 xG · VfL Bochum 1848 0.69 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SV Werder Bremen favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · VfL Bochum 1848 in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SV Werder Bremen30 matchesVfL Bochum 184830 matches
1.6 goals/match ▲Goals scored30/300.97 goals/match
1.8 goals/match ▲Goals allowed30/302.07 goals/match
1.47 xG/match ▲Expected goals30/291.23 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShots30/29▲ 13 shots/match
4.13 shots/matchShots on target30/294.03 shots/match
49.4% ●Possession30/2944.4%
4.67 corners/match ●Corners30/294.62 corners/match
10 fouls/matchFouls30/2914.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 19 Apr 2025, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSV Werder BremenVfL Bochum 1848
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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