PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

VfB Stuttgart 1–2 SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

SV Werder Bremen won 1–2.

Shots
1214
Shots on target
45
Expected goals
1.671.48
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

SV Werder Bremen beat VfB Stuttgart 2–1. Recorded in this match (VfB Stuttgart – SV Werder Bremen): shots 12–14, shots on target 4–5, expected goals 1.67–1.48, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

SV Werder Bremen's recent record differs from the season

moderate

SV Werder Bremen's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.62 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.62 goals/match1.59 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

VfB Stuttgart have a visible home split

moderate

VfB Stuttgart's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.3 shots/match12.9 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots14 shotsVfB Stuttgart 12 shots, SV Werder Bremen 14 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shotsVfB Stuttgart 4 shots, SV Werder Bremen 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.67 xG1.48 xGVfB Stuttgart 1.67 xG, SV Werder Bremen 1.48 xG
  • Possession48%52%VfB Stuttgart 48%, SV Werder Bremen 52%
  • Corners3 corners4 cornersVfB Stuttgart 3 corners, SV Werder Bremen 4 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls13 foulsVfB Stuttgart 12 fouls, SV Werder Bremen 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Maximilian Mittelstädt · VfB Stuttgart · 29′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJamie Leweling · VfB Stuttgart · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedChris Führich · VfB Stuttgart · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNiklas Stark · SV Werder Bremen · 77′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFelix Agu · SV Werder Bremen · 72′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSenne Lynen · SV Werder Bremen · 82′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedErmedin Demirović · VfB Stuttgart · 1′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJamie Leweling · VfB Stuttgart · 26′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLeonardo Bittencourt · SV Werder Bremen · 78′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYannik Keitel · VfB Stuttgart · 86′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMarvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen · 12′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSenne Lynen · SV Werder Bremen · 17′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMarco Grüll · SV Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedErmedin Demirović · VfB Stuttgart · 48′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedOliver Burke · SV Werder Bremen · 7′ · 0.08 xG · on targetAtakan Karazor · VfB Stuttgart · 64′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRomano Schmid · SV Werder Bremen · 12′ · 0.10 xG · on targetMarco Friedl · SV Werder Bremen · 84′ · 0.11 xG · on targetMarvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen · 17′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedErmedin Demirović · VfB Stuttgart · 22′ · 0.12 xG · on targetNick Woltemade · VfB Stuttgart · 57′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedJens Stage · SV Werder Bremen · 53′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedOliver Burke · SV Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.16 xG · goalNick Woltemade · VfB Stuttgart · 12′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedOliver Burke · SV Werder Bremen · 32′ · 0.51 xG · goalLeonidas Stergiou · VfB Stuttgart · 19′ · 0.89 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

VfB Stuttgart: 12 shots, 4 on target, 1.62 xG. SV Werder Bremen: 14 shots, 5 on target, 1.51 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Leonidas Stergiou · VfB Stuttgart · 19′Oliver Burke · SV Werder Bremen · 32′Oliver Burke · SV Werder Bremen · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: VfB Stuttgart 1.62 xG · SV Werder Bremen 1.51 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1VfB Stuttgart
2Draws
2SV Werder Bremen
SV Werder Bremen — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga2–2
SV Werder Bremen — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga2–1
VfB Stuttgart — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga2–0
VfB Stuttgart — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga0–2
SV Werder Bremen — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: VfB Stuttgart favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · SV Werder Bremen in 1 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

VfB Stuttgart29 matchesSV Werder Bremen29 matches
1.79 goals/match ▲Goals scored29/291.62 goals/match
1.59 goals/match ▲Goals allowed29/291.86 goals/match
1.78 xG/match ▲Expected goals29/291.44 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots29/2912.3 shots/match
5.03 shots/match ▲Shots on target29/294.14 shots/match
55.6% ●Possession29/2949.4%
5.03 corners/match ●Corners29/294.76 corners/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls29/2910.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 13 Apr 2025, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVfB StuttgartSV Werder Bremen
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-headVfB Stuttgart — SV Werder Bremen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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