PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

1. FC Union Berlin 4–4 VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga

4–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

1. FC Union Berlin and VfB Stuttgart drew 4–4.

Shots
1212
Shots on target
56
Expected goals
1.330.94
Possession
22%78%

Full time

What the match recorded

1. FC Union Berlin and VfB Stuttgart drew 4–4. Recorded in this match (1. FC Union Berlin – VfB Stuttgart): shots 12–12, shots on target 5–6, expected goals 1.33–0.94, possession 22%–78%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FC Union Berlin's recent record differs from the season

moderate

1. FC Union Berlin's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1 goal/match1.59 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

VfB Stuttgart have a visible away split

moderate

VfB Stuttgart's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.4 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match12.8 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

VfB Stuttgart have recorded the higher season possession share.

39.5%Possession1. FC Union Berlin · VfB Stuttgart● 56.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.8 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric1. FC Union BerlinVfB StuttgartBaseline
Possession39.5%56.3%49.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots12 shots1. FC Union Berlin 12 shots, VfB Stuttgart 12 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots6 shots1. FC Union Berlin 5 shots, VfB Stuttgart 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.33 xG0.94 xG1. FC Union Berlin 1.33 xG, VfB Stuttgart 0.94 xG
  • Possession22%78%1. FC Union Berlin 22%, VfB Stuttgart 78%
  • Corners3 corners5 corners1. FC Union Berlin 3 corners, VfB Stuttgart 5 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls9 fouls1. FC Union Berlin 8 fouls, VfB Stuttgart 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Danilho Doekhi · 1. FC Union Berlin · 5′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLeopold Querfeld · 1. FC Union Berlin · 38′ · 0.02 xG · goalErmedin Demirović · VfB Stuttgart · 59′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAndrej Ilić · 1. FC Union Berlin · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEnzo Millot · VfB Stuttgart · 29′ · 0.03 xG · goalMaximilian Mittelstädt · VfB Stuttgart · 37′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTom Alexander Rothe · 1. FC Union Berlin · 45′ · 0.03 xG · on targetBenedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 81′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarin Ljubičić · 1. FC Union Berlin · 86′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Mittelstädt · VfB Stuttgart · 33′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBenedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 56′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAngelo Stiller · VfB Stuttgart · 36′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAngelo Stiller · VfB Stuttgart · 66′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Mittelstädt · VfB Stuttgart · 76′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDeniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 23′ · 0.08 xG · goalLeopold Querfeld · 1. FC Union Berlin · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAngelo Stiller · VfB Stuttgart · 42′ · 0.09 xG · on targetLászló Bénes · 1. FC Union Berlin · 82′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJeff Chabot · VfB Stuttgart · 43′ · 0.11 xG · goalChris Führich · VfB Stuttgart · 45′ · 0.12 xG · goalAndrej Ilić · 1. FC Union Berlin · 45′ · 0.22 xG · goalJeff Chabot · VfB Stuttgart · 68′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Leite · 1. FC Union Berlin · 19′ · 0.29 xG · goalAndrej Ilić · 1. FC Union Berlin · 5′ · 0.42 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

1. FC Union Berlin: 12 shots, 5 on target, 1.29 xG. VfB Stuttgart: 12 shots, 6 on target, 0.96 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Andrej Ilić · 1. FC Union Berlin · 5′Diogo Leite · 1. FC Union Berlin · 19′Leopold Querfeld · 1. FC Union Berlin · 38′Andrej Ilić · 1. FC Union Berlin · 45′Deniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 23′Enzo Millot · VfB Stuttgart · 29′Jeff Chabot · VfB Stuttgart · 43′Chris Führich · VfB Stuttgart · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: 1. FC Union Berlin 1.29 xG · VfB Stuttgart 0.96 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

21. FC Union Berlin
0Draws
3VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga3–2
VfB Stuttgart — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga2–0
1. FC Union Berlin — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga0–3
1. FC Union Berlin — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga3–0
VfB Stuttgart — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FC Union Berlin favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · VfB Stuttgart in 4 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FC Union Berlin30 matchesVfB Stuttgart30 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored30/30▲ 1.87 goals/match
1.47 goals/match ▲Goals allowed30/301.67 goals/match
1.1 xG/matchExpected goals29/30▲ 1.75 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots29/3012.8 shots/match
3.69 shots/matchShots on target29/30▲ 5.07 shots/match
39.5%Possession29/30● 56.3%
4.66 corners/matchCorners29/30● 5.03 corners/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls29/3010.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 19 Apr 2025, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
Teams1. FC Union BerlinVfB Stuttgart
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-head1. FC Union Berlin — VfB Stuttgart
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required