PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

VfB Stuttgart 0–1 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

1. FC Heidenheim won 0–1.

Shots
196
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
1.870.27
Possession
70%30%

Full time

What the match recorded

1. FC Heidenheim beat VfB Stuttgart 1–0. Recorded in this match (VfB Stuttgart – 1. FC Heidenheim): shots 19–6, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 1.87–0.27, possession 70%–30%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FC Heidenheim's recent record differs from the season

moderate

1. FC Heidenheim's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.06 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1.06 goals/match1.6 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

VfB Stuttgart have a visible home split

moderate

VfB Stuttgart's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.5 shots/match13 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

VfB Stuttgart have recorded the higher season possession share.

56.7% ●PossessionVfB Stuttgart · 1. FC Heidenheim42.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricVfB Stuttgart1. FC HeidenheimBaseline
Possession56.7%42.6%49.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots6 shotsVfB Stuttgart 19 shots, 1. FC Heidenheim 6 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsVfB Stuttgart 3 shots, 1. FC Heidenheim 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.87 xG0.27 xGVfB Stuttgart 1.87 xG, 1. FC Heidenheim 0.27 xG
  • Possession70%30%VfB Stuttgart 70%, 1. FC Heidenheim 30%
  • Corners6 corners5 cornersVfB Stuttgart 6 corners, 1. FC Heidenheim 5 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls16 foulsVfB Stuttgart 14 fouls, 1. FC Heidenheim 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Angelo Stiller · VfB Stuttgart · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAngelo Stiller · VfB Stuttgart · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Mainka · 1. FC Heidenheim · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFinn Jeltsch · VfB Stuttgart · 80′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPascal Stenzel · VfB Stuttgart · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMaximilian Mittelstädt · VfB Stuttgart · 25′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNiklas Dorsch · 1. FC Heidenheim · 30′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJan Schöppner · 1. FC Heidenheim · 49′ · 0.03 xG · on targetErmedin Demirović · VfB Stuttgart · 13′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFabian Rieder · VfB Stuttgart · 63′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAngelo Stiller · VfB Stuttgart · 81′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMathias Honsak · 1. FC Heidenheim · 89′ · 0.05 xG · goalOmar Haktab Traore · 1. FC Heidenheim · 56′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPascal Stenzel · VfB Stuttgart · 86′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJeff Chabot · VfB Stuttgart · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedFrans Krätzig · 1. FC Heidenheim · 39′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedErmedin Demirović · VfB Stuttgart · 72′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJacob Bruun Larsen · VfB Stuttgart · 86′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAngelo Stiller · VfB Stuttgart · 86′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedDeniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 84′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDeniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 23′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedChris Führich · VfB Stuttgart · 36′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedNick Woltemade · VfB Stuttgart · 80′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedDeniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 42′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedErmedin Demirović · VfB Stuttgart · 31′ · 0.52 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

VfB Stuttgart: 19 shots, 3 on target, 1.84 xG. 1. FC Heidenheim: 6 shots, 2 on target, 0.27 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Mathias Honsak · 1. FC Heidenheim · 89′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: VfB Stuttgart 1.84 xG · 1. FC Heidenheim 0.27 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1VfB Stuttgart
1Draws
11. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga1–3
VfB Stuttgart — 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga3–3
1. FC Heidenheim — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: VfB Stuttgart favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FC Heidenheim in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

VfB Stuttgart31 matches1. FC Heidenheim31 matches
1.81 goals/match ▲Goals scored31/311.06 goals/match
1.65 goals/match ▲Goals allowed31/311.94 goals/match
1.75 xG/match ▲Expected goals31/311.19 xG/match
13 shots/match ▲Shots31/3111.6 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target31/313.77 shots/match
56.7% ●Possession31/3142.6%
5.06 corners/match ●Corners31/314.03 corners/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls31/3111.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 25 Apr 2025, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVfB Stuttgart1. FC Heidenheim
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-headVfB Stuttgart — 1. FC Heidenheim
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required