PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

Holstein Kiel 4–3 Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga

4–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Holstein Kiel won 4–3.

Shots
2216
Shots on target
117
Expected goals
2.681.72
Possession
37%63%

Full time

What the match recorded

Holstein Kiel beat Borussia M'gladbach 4–3. Recorded in this match (Holstein Kiel – Borussia M'gladbach): shots 22–16, shots on target 11–7, expected goals 2.68–1.72, possession 37%–63%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots16 shotsHolstein Kiel 22 shots, Borussia M'gladbach 16 shots
  • Shots on target11 shots7 shotsHolstein Kiel 11 shots, Borussia M'gladbach 7 shots
  • Expected goals2.68 xG1.72 xGHolstein Kiel 2.68 xG, Borussia M'gladbach 1.72 xG
  • Possession37%63%Holstein Kiel 37%, Borussia M'gladbach 63%
  • Corners7 corners8 cornersHolstein Kiel 7 corners, Borussia M'gladbach 8 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls11 foulsHolstein Kiel 13 fouls, Borussia M'gladbach 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Finn Porath · Holstein Kiel · 90′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedSteven Skrzybski · Holstein Kiel · 19′ · 0.01 xG · on targetArmin Gigović · Holstein Kiel · 27′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFinn Porath · Holstein Kiel · 89′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFinn Porath · Holstein Kiel · 55′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNicolai Remberg · Holstein Kiel · 20′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedShuto Machino · Holstein Kiel · 32′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRocco Reitz · Borussia M'gladbach · 43′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFranck Honorat · Borussia M'gladbach · 71′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJoe Scally · Borussia M'gladbach · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedShuto Machino · Holstein Kiel · 47′ · 0.04 xG · on targetFranck Honorat · Borussia M'gladbach · 68′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedArmin Gigović · Holstein Kiel · 76′ · 0.05 xG · goalAlexander Bernhardsson · Holstein Kiel · 18′ · 0.06 xG · on targetRocco Reitz · Borussia M'gladbach · 22′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSteven Skrzybski · Holstein Kiel · 57′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Neuhaus · Borussia M'gladbach · 68′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedTim Kleindienst · Borussia M'gladbach · 67′ · 0.08 xG · on targetNicolai Remberg · Holstein Kiel · 75′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFabio Chiarodia · Borussia M'gladbach · 7′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedShuto Machino · Holstein Kiel · 15′ · 0.09 xG · goalTim Kleindienst · Borussia M'gladbach · 52′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedTimo Becker · Holstein Kiel · 47′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedTomáš Čvančara · Borussia M'gladbach · 60′ · 0.10 xG · goalTomáš Čvančara · Borussia M'gladbach · 81′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedShuto Machino · Holstein Kiel · 90′ · 0.10 xG · goalKo Itakura · Borussia M'gladbach · 17′ · 0.11 xG · on targetShuto Machino · Holstein Kiel · 87′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedFranck Honorat · Borussia M'gladbach · 86′ · 0.13 xG · goalRocco Reitz · Borussia M'gladbach · 17′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedAlassane Pléa · Borussia M'gladbach · 69′ · 0.20 xG · goalAlexander Bernhardsson · Holstein Kiel · 5′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedPhil Harres · Holstein Kiel · 90′ · 0.35 xG · on targetAlexander Bernhardsson · Holstein Kiel · 26′ · 0.38 xG · on targetRobin Hack · Borussia M'gladbach · 43′ · 0.38 xG · on targetLasse Rosenboom · Holstein Kiel · 34′ · 0.46 xG · off target or blockedPhil Harres · Holstein Kiel · 90′ · 0.55 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Bernhardsson · Holstein Kiel · 23′ · 0.63 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Holstein Kiel: 22 shots, 11 on target, 3.45 xG. Borussia M'gladbach: 16 shots, 7 on target, 1.71 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Shuto Machino · Holstein Kiel · 15′Alexander Bernhardsson · Holstein Kiel · 23′Armin Gigović · Holstein Kiel · 76′Shuto Machino · Holstein Kiel · 90′Tomáš Čvančara · Borussia M'gladbach · 60′Alassane Pléa · Borussia M'gladbach · 69′Franck Honorat · Borussia M'gladbach · 86′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Holstein Kiel 3.45 xG · Borussia M'gladbach 1.71 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Holstein Kiel
0Draws
1Borussia M'gladbach
Borussia M'gladbach — Holstein Kiel · Bundesliga4–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Holstein Kiel favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Borussia M'gladbach in 9 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Holstein Kiel31 matchesBorussia M'gladbach31 matches
1.45 goals/matchGoals scored31/31▲ 1.65 goals/match
2.39 goals/matchGoals allowed31/31▲ 1.61 goals/match
1.14 xG/matchExpected goals31/31▲ 1.5 xG/match
11 shots/matchShots31/31▲ 12 shots/match
4.19 shots/matchShots on target31/31▲ 4.74 shots/match
44%Possession31/31● 50%
3.77 corners/matchCorners31/31● 4.45 corners/match
12 fouls/matchFouls31/3110.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 26 Apr 2025, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsHolstein KielBorussia M'gladbach
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required