Bundesliga · 2024

FC Bayern München 2–2 Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Bayern München and Borussia Dortmund drew 2–2.

Shots
2811
Shots on target
113
Expected goals
1.971.5
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Bayern München and Borussia Dortmund drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (FC Bayern München – Borussia Dortmund): shots 28–11, shots on target 11–3, expected goals 1.97–1.5, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.79 corners/match ●CornersFC Bayern München · Borussia Dortmund5.83 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricFC Bayern MünchenBorussia DortmundBaseline
Corners6.79 corners/match5.83 corners/match4.68 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

FC Bayern München's recent record differs from the season

weak

FC Bayern München's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.86 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match2.86 goals/match1.59 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FC Bayern München show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

FC Bayern München's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

19 shots/match ▲ShotsFC Bayern München · Borussia Dortmund14.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFC Bayern MünchenBorussia DortmundBaseline
Shots19 shots/match14.3 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against6.38 shots/match11.2 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots28 shots11 shotsFC Bayern München 28 shots, Borussia Dortmund 11 shots
  • Shots on target11 shots3 shotsFC Bayern München 11 shots, Borussia Dortmund 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.97 xG1.5 xGFC Bayern München 1.97 xG, Borussia Dortmund 1.5 xG
  • Possession62%38%FC Bayern München 62%, Borussia Dortmund 38%
  • Corners6 corners5 cornersFC Bayern München 6 corners, Borussia Dortmund 5 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls5 foulsFC Bayern München 8 fouls, Borussia Dortmund 5 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Pascal Groß · Borussia Dortmund · 37′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNiklas Süle · Borussia Dortmund · 43′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLeon Goretzka · FC Bayern München · 45′ · 0.01 xG · on targetSerge Gnabry · FC Bayern München · 89′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMichael Olise · FC Bayern München · 4′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKonrad Laimer · FC Bayern München · 9′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedThomas Müller · FC Bayern München · 13′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Svensson · Borussia Dortmund · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJulian Brandt · Borussia Dortmund · 7′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLeon Goretzka · FC Bayern München · 29′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLeon Goretzka · FC Bayern München · 34′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedWaldemar Anton · Borussia Dortmund · 58′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMichael Olise · FC Bayern München · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 60′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 73′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRaphaël Guerreiro · FC Bayern München · 77′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJoshua Kimmich · FC Bayern München · 79′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 77′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJoshua Kimmich · FC Bayern München · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 19′ · 0.06 xG · on targetHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 20′ · 0.06 xG · on targetThomas Müller · FC Bayern München · 46′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedThomas Müller · FC Bayern München · 80′ · 0.06 xG · on targetHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 45′ · 0.07 xG · on targetKonrad Laimer · FC Bayern München · 77′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedPascal Groß · Borussia Dortmund · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMichael Olise · FC Bayern München · 26′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedThomas Müller · FC Bayern München · 11′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRaphaël Guerreiro · FC Bayern München · 65′ · 0.13 xG · goalCarney Chukwuemeka · Borussia Dortmund · 85′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Beier · Borussia Dortmund · 58′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedSerhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 75′ · 0.17 xG · on targetHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 77′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedJosip Stanišić · FC Bayern München · 35′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedMichael Olise · FC Bayern München · 90′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedMichael Olise · FC Bayern München · 40′ · 0.30 xG · on targetSerge Gnabry · FC Bayern München · 69′ · 0.32 xG · goalMaximilian Beier · Borussia Dortmund · 48′ · 0.48 xG · goalWaldemar Anton · Borussia Dortmund · 75′ · 0.62 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Bayern München: 28 shots, 11 on target, 2.34 xG. Borussia Dortmund: 11 shots, 3 on target, 1.75 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Raphaël Guerreiro · FC Bayern München · 65′Serge Gnabry · FC Bayern München · 69′Maximilian Beier · Borussia Dortmund · 48′Waldemar Anton · Borussia Dortmund · 75′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Bayern München 2.34 xG · Borussia Dortmund 1.75 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2FC Bayern München
2Draws
1Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga1–1
FC Bayern München — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga0–2
Borussia Dortmund — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga0–4
FC Bayern München — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga4–2
Borussia Dortmund — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Bayern München favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Borussia Dortmund in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Bayern München29 matchesBorussia Dortmund29 matches
2.86 goals/match ▲Goals scored29/291.86 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed29/291.55 goals/match
2.47 xG/match ▲Expected goals29/291.81 xG/match
19 shots/match ▲Shots29/2914.3 shots/match
7.93 shots/match ▲Shots on target29/294.59 shots/match
69.2% ●Possession29/2959.4%
6.79 corners/match ●Corners29/295.83 corners/match
8.69 fouls/matchFouls29/299.48 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 12 Apr 2025, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

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