Premier League · 2023Sat, 26 Aug 2023, 16:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBrighton & Hove AlbionWest Ham United
Shots25 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots on target10 shots/match7 shots/match
Expected goals1.48 xG/match3.23 xG/match
Possession78%22%
Corners17 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Lewis Dunk · Brighton & Hove Albion · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKaoru Mitoma · Brighton & Hove Albion · 22′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPascal Groß · Brighton & Hove Albion · 41′ · 0.02 xG · on targetEvan Ferguson · Brighton & Hove Albion · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPascal Groß · Brighton & Hove Albion · 81′ · 0.02 xG · goalJoão Pedro · Brighton & Hove Albion · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSolly March · Brighton & Hove Albion · 27′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPascal Groß · Brighton & Hove Albion · 52′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEmerson Palmieri · West Ham United · 56′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLewis Dunk · Brighton & Hove Albion · 66′ · 0.03 xG · on targetPascal Groß · Brighton & Hove Albion · 66′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJoão Pedro · Brighton & Hove Albion · 83′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLewis Dunk · Brighton & Hove Albion · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBilly Gilmour · Brighton & Hove Albion · 15′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLewis Dunk · Brighton & Hove Albion · 27′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDanny Welbeck · Brighton & Hove Albion · 48′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKaoru Mitoma · Brighton & Hove Albion · 49′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLucas Paquetá · West Ham United · 57′ · 0.04 xG · on targetEvan Ferguson · Brighton & Hove Albion · 80′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJames Ward-Prowse · West Ham United · 68′ · 0.05 xG · on targetPascal Groß · Brighton & Hove Albion · 79′ · 0.07 xG · on targetMichail Antonio · West Ham United · 63′ · 0.08 xG · goalJoël Veltman · Brighton & Hove Albion · 87′ · 0.08 xG · on targetEvan Ferguson · Brighton & Hove Albion · 21′ · 0.09 xG · on targetJarrod Bowen · West Ham United · 53′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedSolly March · Brighton & Hove Albion · 45′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedEvan Ferguson · Brighton & Hove Albion · 29′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedEvan Ferguson · Brighton & Hove Albion · 46′ · 0.13 xG · on targetBilly Gilmour · Brighton & Hove Albion · 29′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedMichail Antonio · West Ham United · 6′ · 0.16 xG · on targetEvan Ferguson · Brighton & Hove Albion · 90′ · 0.23 xG · on targetJames Ward-Prowse · West Ham United · 19′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedLucas Paquetá · West Ham United · 2′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedMichail Antonio · West Ham United · 71′ · 0.43 xG · off target or blockedJarrod Bowen · West Ham United · 90′ · 0.51 xG · on targetJarrod Bowen · West Ham United · 58′ · 0.60 xG · goalJames Ward-Prowse · West Ham United · 19′ · 0.62 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Brighton & Hove Albion: 25 shots, 10 on target, 1.47 xG. West Ham United: 12 shots, 7 on target, 3.21 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Pascal Groß · Brighton & Hove Albion · 81′James Ward-Prowse · West Ham United · 19′Jarrod Bowen · West Ham United · 58′Michail Antonio · West Ham United · 63′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Brighton & Hove Albion 1.47 xG · West Ham United 3.21 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Brighton & Hove Albion have recorded the higher season possession share. A second useful context is: Brighton & Hove Albion's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Brighton & Hove Albion have recorded the higher season possession share.

67.7%PossessionBrighton & Hove Albion · West Ham United27.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 40.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBrighton & Hove AlbionWest Ham UnitedBaseline
Possession67.7%27.7%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Brighton & Hove Albion show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Brighton & Hove Albion's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

22.7 shots/matchShotsBrighton & Hove Albion · West Ham United13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBrighton & Hove AlbionWest Ham UnitedBaseline
Shots22.7 shots/match13.3 shots/match15.3 shots/match
Shots against12.3 shots/match18.7 shots/match14.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Brighton & Hove Albion
1Draws
0West Ham United
Brighton & Hove AlbionWest Ham United · Premier League40
West Ham UnitedBrighton & Hove Albion · Premier League02
Brighton & Hove AlbionWest Ham United · Premier League31
West Ham UnitedBrighton & Hove Albion · Premier League11

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Brighton & Hove Albion favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · West Ham United in 0 · 13 too close

3 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/32.33 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/31 goals/match
2.57 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/32.03 xG/match
2.28 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/31.78 xG/match
22.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/313.3 shots/match
12.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/318.7 shots/match
10 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/35.33 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/36.33 shots/match
67.7%Possessionseason · 3/327.7%
8.67 corners/matchCornersseason · 3/33.67 corners/match
5.33 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/312 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
10.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/311.7 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/30%
100%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/3100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Brighton & Hove Albion88.5
West Ham United3.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Brighton & Hove Albion96.2
West Ham United57.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Brighton & Hove Albion51.3
West Ham United34.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Brighton & Hove Albion57.7
West Ham United96.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Brighton & Hove Albion34.6
West Ham United65.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Brighton & Hove Albion96.2
West Ham United3.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Brighton & Hove Albion80.8
West Ham United38.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Brighton & Hove Albion3 matchesWest Ham United3 matches
3 goals/matchGoals scored3/32.33 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/31 goals/match
2.57 xG/matchExpected goals3/32.03 xG/match
22.7 shots/matchShots3/313.3 shots/match
10 shots/matchShots on target3/35.33 shots/match
67.7%Possession3/327.7%
8.67 corners/matchCorners3/33.67 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.7 fouls/matchFouls3/311.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Brighton & Hove Albion2 matchesWest Ham United2 matches
Goals scored2/2
Goals allowed2/2
Expected goals2/2
Shots2/2
Shots on target2/2
Possession2/2
Corners2/2
Cards0/0
Fouls2/2

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.04 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 26 Aug 2023, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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