Premier League · 2023Sat, 26 Aug 2023, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
01Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricEvertonWolverhampton
Shots15 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match2 shots/match
Expected goals1.34 xG/match1.08 xG/match
Possession47%53%
Corners7 corners/match0 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match14 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Mario Lemina · Wolverhampton · 3′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMario Lemina · Wolverhampton · 6′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJames Garner · Everton · 28′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedArnaut Danjuma · Everton · 5′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMario Lemina · Wolverhampton · 73′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPedro Neto · Wolverhampton · 35′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMatheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 43′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJames Garner · Everton · 53′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJoão Gomes · Wolverhampton · 35′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedArnaut Danjuma · Everton · 64′ · 0.05 xG · on targetYoussef Chermiti · Everton · 68′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPablo Sarabia · Wolverhampton · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAmadou Onana · Everton · 8′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLewis Dobbin · Everton · 28′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJarrad Branthwaite · Everton · 53′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJarrad Branthwaite · Everton · 86′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedArnaut Danjuma · Everton · 52′ · 0.08 xG · on targetJarrad Branthwaite · Everton · 30′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedArnaut Danjuma · Everton · 36′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMatheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 43′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedPablo Sarabia · Wolverhampton · 90′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedJames Tarkowski · Everton · 28′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedAbdoulaye Doucouré · Everton · 67′ · 0.22 xG · on targetArnaut Danjuma · Everton · 14′ · 0.24 xG · on targetSaša Kalajdžić · Wolverhampton · 87′ · 0.27 xG · goalFábio Silva · Wolverhampton · 60′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Everton: 15 shots, 7 on target, 1.35 xG. Wolverhampton: 11 shots, 2 on target, 1.07 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Saša Kalajdžić · Wolverhampton · 87′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Everton 1.35 xG · Wolverhampton 1.07 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Everton
1Draws
3Wolverhampton
WolverhamptonEverton · Premier League11
EvertonWolverhampton · Premier League12
EvertonWolverhampton · Premier League01
WolverhamptonEverton · Premier League21

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Everton favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Wolverhampton in 0 · 13 too close

0 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/30.67 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/31.67 goals/match
1.57 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/31.86 xG/match
1.86 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/31.92 xG/match
14.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/316.7 shots/match
11 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/315.3 shots/match
6 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/34.33 shots/match
3.67 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/36 shots/match
42.7%Possessionseason · 3/349.3%
7.67 corners/matchCornersseason · 3/34 corners/match
3.67 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/36 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
11.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/312.7 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/333%
0%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/367%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Everton19.2
Wolverhampton50
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Everton39.7
Wolverhampton35.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Everton57.7
Wolverhampton34.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Everton65.4
Wolverhampton73.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Everton57.7
Wolverhampton80.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Everton73.1
Wolverhampton23.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Everton61.5
Wolverhampton48.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Everton3 matchesWolverhampton3 matches
0 goals/matchGoals scored3/30.67 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed3/31.67 goals/match
1.57 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.86 xG/match
14.3 shots/matchShots3/316.7 shots/match
6 shots/matchShots on target3/34.33 shots/match
42.7%Possession3/349.3%
7.67 corners/matchCorners3/34 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.3 fouls/matchFouls3/312.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Everton2 matchesWolverhampton2 matches
Goals scored2/2
Goals allowed2/2
Expected goals2/2
Shots2/2
Shots on target2/2
Possession2/2
Corners2/2
Cards0/0
Fouls2/2

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.04 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 26 Aug 2023, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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