PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Brighton & Hove Albion 3–1 Newcastle United · Premier League

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Brighton & Hove Albion won 3–1.

Shots
159
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
1.31.23
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Brighton & Hove Albion beat Newcastle United 3–1. Recorded in this match (Brighton & Hove Albion – Newcastle United): shots 15–9, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 1.3–1.23, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Newcastle United show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Newcastle United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

20.8 shots/match ▲ShotsBrighton & Hove Albion · Newcastle United14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBrighton & Hove AlbionNewcastle UnitedBaseline
Shots20.8 shots/match14 shots/match15.1 shots/match
Shots against11.5 shots/match13.5 shots/match15.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Brighton & Hove Albion have recorded the higher season possession share.

64.8% ●PossessionBrighton & Hove Albion · Newcastle United49.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBrighton & Hove AlbionNewcastle UnitedBaseline
Possession64.8%49.5%49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots9 shotsBrighton & Hove Albion 15 shots, Newcastle United 9 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsBrighton & Hove Albion 6 shots, Newcastle United 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.3 xG1.23 xGBrighton & Hove Albion 1.3 xG, Newcastle United 1.23 xG
  • Possession56%44%Brighton & Hove Albion 56%, Newcastle United 44%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersBrighton & Hove Albion 5 corners, Newcastle United 3 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls17 foulsBrighton & Hove Albion 14 fouls, Newcastle United 17 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Lewis Dunk · Brighton & Hove Albion · 44′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSolly March · Brighton & Hove Albion · 5′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPervis Estupiñán · Brighton & Hove Albion · 11′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBilly Gilmour · Brighton & Hove Albion · 27′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFabian Schär · Newcastle United · 87′ · 0.02 xG · on targetKaoru Mitoma · Brighton & Hove Albion · 16′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKaoru Mitoma · Brighton & Hove Albion · 19′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEvan Ferguson · Brighton & Hove Albion · 65′ · 0.03 xG · goalAlexander Isak · Newcastle United · 72′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHarvey Barnes · Newcastle United · 75′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKaoru Mitoma · Brighton & Hove Albion · 32′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Isak · Newcastle United · 39′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEvan Ferguson · Brighton & Hove Albion · 70′ · 0.05 xG · goalEvan Ferguson · Brighton & Hove Albion · 14′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJoão Pedro · Brighton & Hove Albion · 7′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKaoru Mitoma · Brighton & Hove Albion · 27′ · 0.07 xG · on targetSimon Adingra · Brighton & Hove Albion · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJoelinton · Newcastle United · 28′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedJoão Pedro · Brighton & Hove Albion · 29′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Isak · Newcastle United · 1′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Gordon · Newcastle United · 67′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Isak · Newcastle United · 3′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedCallum Wilson · Newcastle United · 90′ · 0.44 xG · goalEvan Ferguson · Brighton & Hove Albion · 27′ · 0.67 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Brighton & Hove Albion: 15 shots, 6 on target, 1.37 xG. Newcastle United: 9 shots, 2 on target, 1.23 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Evan Ferguson · Brighton & Hove Albion · 27′Evan Ferguson · Brighton & Hove Albion · 65′Evan Ferguson · Brighton & Hove Albion · 70′Callum Wilson · Newcastle United · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Brighton & Hove Albion 1.37 xG · Newcastle United 1.23 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Brighton & Hove Albion
2Draws
2Newcastle United
Newcastle United — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League4–1
Brighton & Hove Albion — Newcastle United · Premier League0–0
Newcastle United — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League2–1
Brighton & Hove Albion — Newcastle United · Premier League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Brighton & Hove Albion favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Newcastle United in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Brighton & Hove Albion4 matchesNewcastle United4 matches
3 goals/match ▲Goals scored4/41.75 goals/match
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals allowed4/41.75 goals/match
2.25 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/41.73 xG/match
20.8 shots/match ▲Shots4/414 shots/match
9 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/46 shots/match
64.8% ●Possession4/449.5%
7.75 corners/match ●Corners4/43.5 corners/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls4/414 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 Sept 2023, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBrighton & Hove AlbionNewcastle United
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headBrighton & Hove Albion — Newcastle United
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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