Premier League · 2023Sat, 2 Sept 2023, 16:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Brighton & Hove Albion

WWL

3–1Full-time recap

Newcastle United

WLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Brighton & Hove Albion	Newcastle United
Shots	15 shots/match▲	9 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	1.3 xG/match▲	1.23 xG/match
Possession	56%●	44%
Corners	5 corners/match●	3 corners/match
Fouls	14 fouls/match	17 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Brighton & Hove Albion: 15 shots, 6 on target, 1.37 xG. Newcastle United: 9 shots, 2 on target, 1.23 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Brighton & Hove Albion 1.37 xG · Newcastle United 1.23 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Newcastle United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Brighton & Hove Albion have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Newcastle United show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Newcastle United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

20.8 shots/match▲ShotsBrighton & Hove Albion · Newcastle United14 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Brighton & Hove Albion	Newcastle United	Baseline
Shots	20.8 shots/match	14 shots/match	15.1 shots/match
Shots against	11.5 shots/match	13.5 shots/match	15.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Brighton & Hove Albion have recorded the higher season possession share.

64.8%●PossessionBrighton & Hove Albion · Newcastle United49.5%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.2 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Brighton & Hove Albion	Newcastle United	Baseline
Possession	64.8%	49.5%	49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Brighton & Hove Albion

2Draws

2Newcastle United

18 May 2023Newcastle United — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League4–1

13 Aug 2022Brighton & Hove Albion — Newcastle United · Premier League0–0

5 Mar 2022Newcastle United — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League2–1

6 Nov 2021Brighton & Hove Albion — Newcastle United · Premier League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Brighton & Hove Albion favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Newcastle United in 0 · 13 too close

3 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/41.75 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/41.75 goals/match

2.25 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/41.73 xG/match

2.02 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/41.24 xG/match

20.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/414 shots/match

11.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/413.5 shots/match

9 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/46 shots/match

4.25 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/45 shots/match

64.8%●Possessionseason · 4/449.5%

7.75 corners/match●Cornersseason · 4/43.5 corners/match

4.75 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/45.5 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/414 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/40%

100%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/475%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Brighton & Hove Albion82.5

Newcastle United57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Brighton & Hove Albion97.5

Newcastle United55.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Brighton & Hove Albion67.5

Newcastle United50.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Brighton & Hove Albion62.5

Newcastle United37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Brighton & Hove Albion47.5

Newcastle United97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Brighton & Hove Albion87.5

Newcastle United7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Brighton & Hove Albion82.5

Newcastle United52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Brighton & Hove Albion4 matchesNewcastle United4 matches

3 goals/match▲Goals scored4/41.75 goals/match

1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/41.75 goals/match

2.25 xG/match▲Expected goals4/41.73 xG/match

20.8 shots/match▲Shots4/414 shots/match

9 shots/match▲Shots on target4/46 shots/match

64.8%●Possession4/449.5%

7.75 corners/match●Corners4/43.5 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.5 fouls/matchFouls4/414 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Brighton & Hove Albion3 matchesNewcastle United2 matches

2.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/2—

1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/2—

2.26 xG/matchExpected goals3/2—

22.3 shots/matchShots3/2—

9.33 shots/matchShots on target3/2—

68.3%Possession3/2—

9.33 corners/matchCorners3/2—

—Cards0/0—

11.7 fouls/matchFouls3/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.04 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples4 / 4home / away teams

Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 Sept 2023, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Match statistics

Shot map

Expected-goals timeline

What the record shows

Newcastle United show a distinct attacking-volume record

The teams have contrasting possession records

Head-to-head

Team comparison

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches