PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Manchester City 5–1 Fulham · Premier League

5–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Manchester City won 5–1.

Shots
76
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
2.261.45
Possession
68%32%

Full time

What the match recorded

Manchester City beat Fulham 5–1. Recorded in this match (Manchester City – Fulham): shots 7–6, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 2.26–1.45, possession 68%–32%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fulham show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Fulham's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

17 shots/match ▲ShotsManchester City · Fulham8.25 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricManchester CityFulhamBaseline
Shots17 shots/match8.25 shots/match15.1 shots/match
Shots against6.25 shots/match15.5 shots/match15.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Manchester City have recorded the higher season possession share.

68% ●PossessionManchester City · Fulham43.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 24.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricManchester CityFulhamBaseline
Possession68%43.8%49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots6 shotsManchester City 7 shots, Fulham 6 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsManchester City 5 shots, Fulham 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.26 xG1.45 xGManchester City 2.26 xG, Fulham 1.45 xG
  • Possession68%32%Manchester City 68%, Fulham 32%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersManchester City 4 corners, Fulham 5 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls12 foulsManchester City 12 fouls, Fulham 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Bobby De Cordova-Reid · Fulham · 47′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNathan Aké · Manchester City · 45′ · 0.03 xG · goalRaúl Jiménez · Fulham · 33′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedErling Haaland · Manchester City · 30′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJulián Alvarez · Manchester City · 64′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRaúl Jiménez · Fulham · 74′ · 0.13 xG · on targetErling Haaland · Manchester City · 90′ · 0.20 xG · goalLuke Harris · Fulham · 60′ · 0.27 xG · on targetBobby De Cordova-Reid · Fulham · 33′ · 0.40 xG · on targetErling Haaland · Manchester City · 58′ · 0.51 xG · goalJulián Alvarez · Manchester City · 31′ · 0.55 xG · goalErling Haaland · Manchester City · 70′ · 0.82 xG · goalTim Ream · Fulham · 33′ · 0.92 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Manchester City: 7 shots, 5 on target, 2.27 xG. Fulham: 6 shots, 4 on target, 1.80 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Julián Alvarez · Manchester City · 31′Nathan Aké · Manchester City · 45′Erling Haaland · Manchester City · 58′Erling Haaland · Manchester City · 70′Erling Haaland · Manchester City · 90′Tim Ream · Fulham · 33′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Manchester City 2.27 xG · Fulham 1.80 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Manchester City
0Draws
0Fulham
Fulham — Manchester City · Premier League1–2
Manchester City — Fulham · Premier League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Manchester City favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Fulham in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Manchester City4 matchesFulham4 matches
2.75 goals/match ▲Goals scored4/41 goal/match
0.5 goals/match ▲Goals allowed4/42.5 goals/match
2.24 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/40.99 xG/match
17 shots/match ▲Shots4/48.25 shots/match
6.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/42.75 shots/match
68% ●Possession4/443.8%
6 corners/match ●Corners4/44.25 corners/match
8.75 fouls/matchFouls4/49 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 Sept 2023, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsManchester CityFulham
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headManchester City — Fulham
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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