Premier League · 2023Sat, 2 Sept 2023, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Burnley

2–5Full-time recap

Tottenham Hotspur

DWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Burnley	Tottenham Hotspur
Shots	16 shots/match	21 shots/match▲
Shots on target	4 shots/match	11 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.36 xG/match	2.28 xG/match▲
Possession	46%	54%●
Corners	7 corners/match●	4 corners/match
Fouls	15 fouls/match	9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Burnley: 16 shots, 4 on target, 1.38 xG. Tottenham Hotspur: 21 shots, 11 on target, 2.30 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Burnley 1.38 xG · Tottenham Hotspur 2.30 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Tottenham Hotspur's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Tottenham Hotspur have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Tottenham Hotspur show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Tottenham Hotspur's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.3 shots/match▲ShotsBurnley · Tottenham Hotspur18.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Burnley	Tottenham Hotspur	Baseline
Shots	10.3 shots/match	18.3 shots/match	15.1 shots/match
Shots against	18 shots/match	15 shots/match	15.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Tottenham Hotspur have recorded the higher season possession share.

45.7%PossessionBurnley · Tottenham Hotspur●59.3%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.6 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Burnley	Tottenham Hotspur	Baseline
Possession	45.7%	59.3%	49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Burnley

0Draws

1Tottenham Hotspur

15 May 2022Tottenham Hotspur — Burnley · Premier League1–0

23 Feb 2022Burnley — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Burnley favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Tottenham Hotspur in 0 · 13 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/42.75 goals/match

3.67 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/41 goals/match

0.81 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/41.84 xG/match

2.35 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/41.58 xG/match

10.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/418.3 shots/match

18 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/415 shots/match

2.33 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/47.25 shots/match

8.33 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/44.75 shots/match

45.7%Possessionseason · 3/4●59.3%

5.67 corners/match●Cornersseason · 3/44.25 corners/match

5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/45.5 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/410.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/450%

67%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/4100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Burnley32.5

Tottenham Hotspur77.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Burnley18.3

Tottenham Hotspur90

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Burnley8.3

Tottenham Hotspur65.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Burnley7.5

Tottenham Hotspur52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Burnley80

Tottenham Hotspur32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Burnley52.5

Tottenham Hotspur30

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Burnley39.4

Tottenham Hotspur60.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Burnley3 matchesTottenham Hotspur4 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored3/4▲2.75 goals/match

3.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/4▲1 goals/match

0.81 xG/matchExpected goals3/4▲1.84 xG/match

10.3 shots/matchShots3/4▲18.3 shots/match

2.33 shots/matchShots on target3/4▲7.25 shots/match

45.7%Possession3/4●59.3%

5.67 corners/match●Corners3/44.25 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.7 fouls/matchFouls3/410.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Burnley3 matchesTottenham Hotspur3 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲3 goals/match

3.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲1.33 goals/match

0.81 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲1.87 xG/match

10.3 shots/matchShots3/3▲18.7 shots/match

2.33 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲7.67 shots/match

45.7%Possession3/3●60.3%

5.67 corners/match●Corners3/34 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.7 fouls/matchFouls3/311 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.04 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.1 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples3 / 4home / away teams

Recent samples3 / 4last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 Sept 2023, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4