Premier League · 2023Sat, 26 Aug 2023, 11:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
02Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBournemouthTottenham Hotspur
Shots11 shots/match17 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match6 shots/match
Expected goals0.67 xG/match2.06 xG/match
Possession43%57%
Corners6 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls18 fouls/match11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Pedro Porro · Tottenham Hotspur · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPhilip Billing · Bournemouth · 19′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDejan Kulusevski · Tottenham Hotspur · 23′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSon Heung-min · Tottenham Hotspur · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRyan Christie · Bournemouth · 41′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPedro Porro · Tottenham Hotspur · 84′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJustin Kluivert · Bournemouth · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLewis Cook · Bournemouth · 85′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSon Heung-min · Tottenham Hotspur · 86′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJaidon Anthony · Bournemouth · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIvan Perišić · Tottenham Hotspur · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Semenyo · Bournemouth · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJaidon Anthony · Bournemouth · 67′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRicharlison · Tottenham Hotspur · 40′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedYves Bissouma · Tottenham Hotspur · 45′ · 0.05 xG · on targetPedro Porro · Tottenham Hotspur · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDominic Solanke · Bournemouth · 87′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPape Matar Sarr · Tottenham Hotspur · 22′ · 0.07 xG · on targetPhilip Billing · Bournemouth · 35′ · 0.10 xG · on targetJames Maddison · Tottenham Hotspur · 70′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJames Maddison · Tottenham Hotspur · 10′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Semenyo · Bournemouth · 29′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedBen Davies · Tottenham Hotspur · 90′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedPhilip Billing · Bournemouth · 45′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedRicharlison · Tottenham Hotspur · 15′ · 0.22 xG · on targetJames Maddison · Tottenham Hotspur · 15′ · 0.23 xG · on targetDejan Kulusevski · Tottenham Hotspur · 63′ · 0.34 xG · goalJames Maddison · Tottenham Hotspur · 17′ · 0.63 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bournemouth: 11 shots, 3 on target, 0.66 xG. Tottenham Hotspur: 17 shots, 6 on target, 2.14 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′James Maddison · Tottenham Hotspur · 17′Dejan Kulusevski · Tottenham Hotspur · 63′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bournemouth 0.66 xG · Tottenham Hotspur 2.14 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Tottenham Hotspur's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Tottenham Hotspur have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Tottenham Hotspur show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Tottenham Hotspur's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.7 shots/matchShotsBournemouth · Tottenham Hotspur17.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBournemouthTottenham HotspurBaseline
Shots12.7 shots/match17.3 shots/match15.3 shots/match
Shots against19.7 shots/match14.7 shots/match14.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Tottenham Hotspur have recorded the higher season possession share.

47%PossessionBournemouth · Tottenham Hotspur61%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBournemouthTottenham HotspurBaseline
Possession47%61%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Bournemouth
0Draws
1Tottenham Hotspur
Tottenham HotspurBournemouth · Premier League23
BournemouthTottenham Hotspur · Premier League23

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Bournemouth favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Tottenham Hotspur in 0 · 13 too close

0.67 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/32 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/30.67 goals/match
1.11 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/31.69 xG/match
2.07 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/31.65 xG/match
12.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/317.3 shots/match
19.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/314.7 shots/match
4.33 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/36 shots/match
6.33 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/35 shots/match
47%Possessionseason · 3/361%
6 corners/matchCornersseason · 3/34.33 corners/match
5.33 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/35 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
13.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/311 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/367%
67%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/3100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Bournemouth31.8
Tottenham Hotspur77.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Bournemouth24.2
Tottenham Hotspur81.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Bournemouth12.1
Tottenham Hotspur60.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Bournemouth31.8
Tottenham Hotspur40.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Bournemouth90.9
Tottenham Hotspur45.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Bournemouth59.1
Tottenham Hotspur40.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Bournemouth50
Tottenham Hotspur60.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Bournemouth3 matchesTottenham Hotspur3 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/32 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed3/30.67 goals/match
1.11 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.69 xG/match
12.7 shots/matchShots3/317.3 shots/match
4.33 shots/matchShots on target3/36 shots/match
47%Possession3/361%
6 corners/matchCorners3/34.33 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.3 fouls/matchFouls3/311 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Bournemouth2 matchesTottenham Hotspur2 matches
Goals scored2/2
Goals allowed2/2
Expected goals2/2
Shots2/2
Shots on target2/2
Possession2/2
Corners2/2
Cards0/0
Fouls2/2

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.79 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 26 Aug 2023, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match