Premier League · 2023

Burnley 1–3 Aston Villa · Premier League

1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Aston Villa won 1–3.

Shots
916
Shots on target
26
Expected goals
0.732.7
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Aston Villa beat Burnley 3–1. Recorded in this match (Burnley – Aston Villa): shots 9–16, shots on target 2–6, expected goals 0.73–2.7, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Burnley show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Burnley's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBurnleyAston VillaBaseline
Shots—15 shots/match15.5 shots/match
Shots against—11.7 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots16 shotsBurnley 9 shots, Aston Villa 16 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots6 shotsBurnley 2 shots, Aston Villa 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.73 xG2.7 xGBurnley 0.73 xG, Aston Villa 2.7 xG
  • Possession57%43%Burnley 57%, Aston Villa 43%
  • Corners4 corners6 cornersBurnley 4 corners, Aston Villa 6 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls11 foulsBurnley 12 fouls, Aston Villa 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Luca Koleosho · Burnley · 10′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMatty Cash · Aston Villa · 76′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHannes Delcroix · Burnley · 59′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMatty Cash · Aston Villa · 60′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuca Koleosho · Burnley · 68′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedZeki Amdouni · Burnley · 43′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedZeki Amdouni · Burnley · 47′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMatty Cash · Aston Villa · 80′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Zaniolo · Aston Villa · 82′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMatty Cash · Aston Villa · 35′ · 0.04 xG · on targetHannes Delcroix · Burnley · 50′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedOllie Watkins · Aston Villa · 79′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMoussa Diaby · Aston Villa · 61′ · 0.08 xG · goalMoussa Diaby · Aston Villa · 6′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedDiego Carlos · Aston Villa · 24′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedOllie Watkins · Aston Villa · 36′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJay Rodriguez · Burnley · 85′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedLyle Foster · Burnley · 47′ · 0.13 xG · goalOllie Watkins · Aston Villa · 37′ · 0.16 xG · on targetOllie Watkins · Aston Villa · 8′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Zaniolo · Aston Villa · 75′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedMatty Cash · Aston Villa · 20′ · 0.28 xG · goalJay Rodriguez · Burnley · 88′ · 0.35 xG · off target or blockedOllie Watkins · Aston Villa · 67′ · 0.39 xG · on targetMatty Cash · Aston Villa · 8′ · 0.92 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Burnley: 9 shots, 2 on target, 0.76 xG. Aston Villa: 16 shots, 6 on target, 2.72 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Lyle Foster · Burnley · 47′Matty Cash · Aston Villa · 8′Matty Cash · Aston Villa · 20′Moussa Diaby · Aston Villa · 61′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Burnley 0.76 xG · Aston Villa 2.72 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Burnley
1Draws
1Aston Villa
Aston Villa — Burnley · Premier League1–1
Burnley — Aston Villa · Premier League1–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

15.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 match

Burnley / Aston Villa

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples2 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples2 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 27 Aug 2023, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required