Premier League · 2023Sat, 26 Aug 2023, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Arsenal

2–2Full-time recap

Fulham

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Arsenal	Fulham
Shots	19 shots/match▲	8 shots/match
Shots on target	11 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	3.2 xG/match▲	0.56 xG/match
Possession	71%●	29%
Corners	8 corners/match●	3 corners/match
Fouls	6 fouls/match	5 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Arsenal: 19 shots, 10 on target, 3.29 xG. Fulham: 8 shots, 3 on target, 0.56 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Arsenal 3.29 xG · Fulham 0.56 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Fulham's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Arsenal have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Fulham show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Fulham's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

16 shots/match▲ShotsArsenal · Fulham9 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Arsenal	Fulham	Baseline
Shots	16 shots/match	9 shots/match	15.3 shots/match
Shots against	9.33 shots/match	18.3 shots/match	14.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Arsenal have recorded the higher season possession share.

67.3%●PossessionArsenal · Fulham47.7%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 19.7 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Arsenal	Fulham	Baseline
Possession	67.3%	47.7%	49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Arsenal

0Draws

0Fulham

12 Mar 2023Fulham — Arsenal · Premier League0–3

27 Aug 2022Arsenal — Fulham · Premier League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Arsenal favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Fulham in 0 · 13 too close

1.67 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/31 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/31.67 goals/match

2.02 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/30.84 xG/match

0.92 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/33.29 xG/match

16 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/39 shots/match

9.33 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/318.3 shots/match

7 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/32.33 shots/match

2.33 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/39.33 shots/match

67.3%●Possessionseason · 3/347.7%

8 corners/match●Cornersseason · 3/34 corners/match

2.33 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/37.67 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

9.33 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/38 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/333%

100%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/367%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Arsenal80.8

Fulham42.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Arsenal68

Fulham14.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Arsenal85.9

Fulham19.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Arsenal19.2

Fulham3.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Arsenal15.4

Fulham3.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Arsenal80.8

Fulham23.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Arsenal60.6

Fulham8.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Arsenal3 matchesFulham3 matches

1.67 goals/match▲Goals scored3/31 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/31.67 goals/match

2.02 xG/match▲Expected goals3/30.84 xG/match

16 shots/match▲Shots3/39 shots/match

7 shots/match▲Shots on target3/32.33 shots/match

67.3%●Possession3/347.7%

8 corners/match●Corners3/34 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9.33 fouls/matchFouls3/38 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Arsenal2 matchesFulham2 matches

—Goals scored2/2—

—Goals allowed2/2—

—Expected goals2/2—

—Shots2/2—

—Shots on target2/2—

—Possession2/2—

—Corners2/2—

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.79 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples3 / 3home / away teams

Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 26 Aug 2023, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4