Premier League · 2023Sun, 20 Aug 2023, 15:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
31Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricWest Ham UnitedChelsea
Shots12 shots/match17 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match4 shots/match
Expected goals1.8 xG/match2.49 xG/match
Possession24%76%
Corners3 corners/match9 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Saïd Benrahma · West Ham United · 43′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJarrod Bowen · West Ham United · 79′ · 0.01 xG · on targetSaïd Benrahma · West Ham United · 17′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMoisés Caicedo · Chelsea · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEnzo Fernández · Chelsea · 2′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedConor Gallagher · Chelsea · 21′ · 0.03 xG · on targetThiago Silva · Chelsea · 20′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJames Ward-Prowse · West Ham United · 51′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSaïd Benrahma · West Ham United · 65′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMalo Gusto · Chelsea · 35′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNoni Madueke · Chelsea · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetRaheem Sterling · Chelsea · 62′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLevi Colwill · Chelsea · 80′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLucas Paquetá · West Ham United · 37′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLevi Colwill · Chelsea · 32′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMichail Antonio · West Ham United · 53′ · 0.08 xG · goalMykhailo Mudryk · Chelsea · 85′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Jackson · Chelsea · 22′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedCarney Chukwuemeka · Chelsea · 28′ · 0.10 xG · goalConor Gallagher · Chelsea · 62′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedBen Chilwell · Chelsea · 24′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedPablo Fornals · West Ham United · 90′ · 0.12 xG · on targetNayef Aguerd · West Ham United · 7′ · 0.13 xG · goalBen Chilwell · Chelsea · 45′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMichail Antonio · West Ham United · 13′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedJarrod Bowen · West Ham United · 5′ · 0.38 xG · on targetNicolas Jackson · Chelsea · 14′ · 0.66 xG · off target or blockedEnzo Fernández · Chelsea · 43′ · 0.82 xG · on targetLucas Paquetá · West Ham United · 90′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

West Ham United: 12 shots, 6 on target, 1.87 xG. Chelsea: 17 shots, 4 on target, 2.51 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Nayef Aguerd · West Ham United · 7′Michail Antonio · West Ham United · 53′Lucas Paquetá · West Ham United · 90′Carney Chukwuemeka · Chelsea · 28′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: West Ham United 1.87 xG · Chelsea 2.51 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1West Ham United
1Draws
2Chelsea
West Ham UnitedChelsea · Premier League11
ChelseaWest Ham United · Premier League21
ChelseaWest Ham United · Premier League10
West Ham UnitedChelsea · Premier League32

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

West Ham United favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Chelsea in 0 · 13 too close

Goals scoredseason · 2/2
Goals allowedseason · 2/2
Expected goalsseason · 2/2
Expected goals allowedseason · 2/2
Shotsseason · 2/2
Shots allowedseason · 2/2
Shots on targetseason · 2/2
Shots on target allowedseason · 2/2
Possessionseason · 2/2
Cornersseason · 2/2
Corners allowedseason · 2/2
Cardsseason · 0/0
Foulsseason · 2/2
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 2/2
Scoring frequencyseason · 2/2

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

West Ham United
Chelsea
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

West Ham United
Chelsea
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

West Ham United
Chelsea
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

West Ham United
Chelsea
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

West Ham United
Chelsea
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

West Ham United
Chelsea
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

West Ham United
Chelsea
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

West Ham United2 matchesChelsea2 matches
Goals scored2/2
Goals allowed2/2
Expected goals2/2
Shots2/2
Shots on target2/2
Possession2/2
Corners2/2
Cards0/0
Fouls2/2

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

West Ham United1 matchesChelsea1 matches
Goals scored1/1
Goals allowed1/1
Expected goals1/1
Shots1/1
Shots on target1/1
Possession1/1
Corners1/1
Cards0/0
Fouls1/1

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.06 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples2 / 2home / away teams
Recent samples2 / 2last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 20 Aug 2023, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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