Premier League · 2023

Luton Town 0–1 Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Tottenham Hotspur won 0–1.

Shots
1215
Shots on target
24
Expected goals
0.761.96
Possession
33%67%

Full time

What the match recorded

Tottenham Hotspur beat Luton Town 1–0. Recorded in this match (Luton Town – Tottenham Hotspur): shots 12–15, shots on target 2–4, expected goals 0.76–1.96, possession 33%–67%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Luton Town have a visible home split

weak

Luton Town's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.5 shots/match12.8 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Luton Town.

3.71 days ▲Rest daysLuton Town · Tottenham Hotspur6.79 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricLuton TownTottenham HotspurBaseline
Rest days3.71 days6.79 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Tottenham Hotspur show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Tottenham Hotspur's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLuton Town · Tottenham Hotspur19.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLuton TownTottenham HotspurBaseline
Shots12.8 shots/match19.1 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots against15.4 shots/match13 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots15 shotsLuton Town 12 shots, Tottenham Hotspur 15 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots4 shotsLuton Town 2 shots, Tottenham Hotspur 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.76 xG1.96 xGLuton Town 0.76 xG, Tottenham Hotspur 1.96 xG
  • Possession33%67%Luton Town 33%, Tottenham Hotspur 67%
  • Corners5 corners6 cornersLuton Town 5 corners, Tottenham Hotspur 6 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls7 foulsLuton Town 16 fouls, Tottenham Hotspur 7 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Micky van de Ven · Tottenham Hotspur · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCarlton Morris · Luton Town · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJacob Brown · Luton Town · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlfie Doughty · Luton Town · 73′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTeden Mengi · Luton Town · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSon Heung-min · Tottenham Hotspur · 6′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRicharlison · Tottenham Hotspur · 19′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPedro Porro · Tottenham Hotspur · 62′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedChiedozie Ogbene · Luton Town · 73′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarvelous Nakamba · Luton Town · 21′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDejan Kulusevski · Tottenham Hotspur · 30′ · 0.04 xG · on targetPierre-Emile Højbjerg · Tottenham Hotspur · 51′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRicharlison · Tottenham Hotspur · 30′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJames Maddison · Tottenham Hotspur · 33′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSon Heung-min · Tottenham Hotspur · 17′ · 0.07 xG · on targetAlfie Doughty · Luton Town · 56′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedChiedozie Ogbene · Luton Town · 65′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedCarlton Morris · Luton Town · 60′ · 0.08 xG · on targetCarlton Morris · Luton Town · 81′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedSon Heung-min · Tottenham Hotspur · 10′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedJacob Brown · Luton Town · 64′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedCauley Woodrow · Luton Town · 67′ · 0.14 xG · on targetJames Maddison · Tottenham Hotspur · 45′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedMicky van de Ven · Tottenham Hotspur · 52′ · 0.20 xG · goalRicharlison · Tottenham Hotspur · 4′ · 0.25 xG · on targetPedro Porro · Tottenham Hotspur · 7′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blockedRicharlison · Tottenham Hotspur · 3′ · 0.51 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Luton Town: 12 shots, 2 on target, 0.75 xG. Tottenham Hotspur: 15 shots, 4 on target, 1.91 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Micky van de Ven · Tottenham Hotspur · 52′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Luton Town 0.75 xG · Tottenham Hotspur 1.91 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Luton Town favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Tottenham Hotspur in 10

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Luton Town8 matchesTottenham Hotspur8 matches
0.75 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲ 2.25 goals/match
1.88 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 1 goal/match
1.21 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲ 1.89 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots8/8▲ 19.1 shots/match
2.25 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲ 7 shots/match
36.6%Possession8/8● 61.5%
6.25 corners/matchCorners8/8● 6.63 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls8/811.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Oct 2023, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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