Premier League · 2023Sat, 7 Oct 2023, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Fulham

DLWDL

3–1Full-time recap

Sheffield United

LDLLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Fulham	Sheffield United
Shots	20 shots/match▲	5 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	2.21 xG/match▲	0.57 xG/match
Possession	60%●	40%
Corners	9 corners/match●	4 corners/match
Fouls	8 fouls/match	10 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sheffield United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Fulham's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Sheffield United show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Sheffield United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.8 shots/match▲ShotsFulham · Sheffield United8.88 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Fulham	Sheffield United	Baseline
Shots	10.8 shots/match	8.88 shots/match	14 shots/match
Shots against	11.5 shots/match	22 shots/match	13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Fulham have a visible home split

weak

Fulham's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.3 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season10.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	13.3 shots/match	10.8 shots/match	14 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Fulham have recorded the higher season possession share.

52.3%●PossessionFulham · Sheffield United38.5%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.8 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Fulham	Sheffield United	Baseline
Possession	52.3%	38.5%	48.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Fulham

0Draws

2Sheffield United

7 May 2022Sheffield United — Fulham · Championship4–0

20 Dec 2021Fulham — Sheffield United · Championship0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Fulham favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Sheffield United in 0 · 3 too close

1 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 8/80.75 goals/match

1.63 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 8/82.75 goals/match

1.1 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 8/80.76 xG/match

1.97 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 8/82.48 xG/match

10.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 8/88.88 shots/match

11.5 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 8/822 shots/match

3.38 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 8/83 shots/match

5.5 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 8/88.38 shots/match

52.3%●Possessionseason · 8/838.5%

5.25 corners/match●Cornersseason · 8/83.63 corners/match

4.63 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 8/88.13 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

10 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 8/811.8 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

38%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 8/80%

63%Scoring frequencyseason · 8/863%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Fulham62.5

Sheffield United15

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Fulham25

Sheffield United8.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Fulham44.2

Sheffield United2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Fulham2.5

Sheffield United17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Fulham12.5

Sheffield United72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Fulham45

Sheffield United12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Fulham25.6

Sheffield United25

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Fulham8 matchesSheffield United8 matches

1 goals/match▲Goals scored8/80.75 goals/match

1.63 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/82.75 goals/match

1.1 xG/match▲Expected goals8/80.76 xG/match

10.8 shots/match▲Shots8/88.88 shots/match

3.38 shots/match▲Shots on target8/83 shots/match

52.3%●Possession8/838.5%

5.25 corners/match●Corners8/83.63 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10 fouls/matchFouls8/811.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Fulham4 matchesSheffield United4 matches

1 goals/match▲Goals scored4/40.75 goals/match

1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/42.25 goals/match

1.18 xG/match▲Expected goals4/40.7 xG/match

13.3 shots/match▲Shots4/48.75 shots/match

3.25 shots/match▲Shots on target4/43 shots/match

62.3%●Possession4/442%

7 corners/match●Corners4/44.25 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.5 fouls/matchFouls4/410.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.79 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples8 / 8home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Oct 2023, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4