Premier League · 2023Sat, 30 Sept 2023, 16:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Tottenham Hotspur

WWWWD

2–1Full-time recap

Liverpool

WWWWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Tottenham Hotspur	Liverpool
Shots	24 shots/match▲	12 shots/match
Shots on target	8 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Expected goals	2.23 xG/match▲	1.31 xG/match
Possession	65%●	35%
Corners	11 corners/match●	5 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	17 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. A second useful context is: Liverpool's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.71 corners/match●CornersTottenham Hotspur · Liverpool6.57 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Tottenham Hotspur	Liverpool	Baseline
Corners	6.71 corners/match	6.57 corners/match	5.29 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Liverpool have a visible away split

weak

Liverpool's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12.5 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season16.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	12.5 shots/match	16.4 shots/match	14.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Tottenham Hotspur show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Tottenham Hotspur's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

19.7 shots/match▲ShotsTottenham Hotspur · Liverpool16.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Tottenham Hotspur	Liverpool	Baseline
Shots	19.7 shots/match	16.4 shots/match	14.4 shots/match
Shots against	13.1 shots/match	14.4 shots/match	13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Tottenham Hotspur

2Draws

2Liverpool

30 Apr 2023Liverpool — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League4–3

6 Nov 2022Tottenham Hotspur — Liverpool · Premier League1–2

7 May 2022Liverpool — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League1–1

19 Dec 2021Tottenham Hotspur — Liverpool · Premier League2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Tottenham Hotspur favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Liverpool in 4 · 4 too close

2.43 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 7/72.29 goals/match

1.14 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 7/7▲1 goals/match

1.88 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 7/7▲2.08 xG/match

1.47 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 7/7▲1.32 xG/match

19.7 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 7/716.4 shots/match

13.1 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 7/714.4 shots/match

7.43 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 7/75.14 shots/match

4.86 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 7/74.86 shots/match

60.7%●Possessionseason · 7/752.7%

6.71 corners/match●Cornersseason · 7/76.57 corners/match

5.71 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 7/7▲4.71 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 7/711.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

29%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 7/714%

100%Scoring frequencyseason · 7/7100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Tottenham Hotspur77.5

Liverpool72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Tottenham Hotspur90

Liverpool73.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Tottenham Hotspur54.2

Liverpool53.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Tottenham Hotspur82.5

Liverpool77.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Tottenham Hotspur77.5

Liverpool40

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Tottenham Hotspur85

Liverpool77.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Tottenham Hotspur88.1

Liverpool66.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Tottenham Hotspur7 matchesLiverpool7 matches

2.43 goals/match▲Goals scored7/72.29 goals/match

1.14 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲1 goals/match

1.88 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲2.08 xG/match

19.7 shots/match▲Shots7/716.4 shots/match

7.43 shots/match▲Shots on target7/75.14 shots/match

60.7%●Possession7/752.7%

6.71 corners/match●Corners7/76.57 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.1 fouls/matchFouls7/711.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Tottenham Hotspur3 matchesLiverpool4 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored3/41.75 goals/match

0.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/41.25 goals/match

2.03 xG/match▲Expected goals3/41.5 xG/match

23 shots/match▲Shots3/412.5 shots/match

8 shots/match▲Shots on target3/43.75 shots/match

63.7%●Possession3/444%

10.3 corners/match●Corners3/45.5 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11 fouls/matchFouls3/411 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.15 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.15 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples7 / 7home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Sept 2023, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4