Premier League · 2023Sun, 24 Sept 2023, 13:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Arsenal

WWDWW

2–2Full-time recap

Tottenham Hotspur

DWWWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Arsenal	Tottenham Hotspur
Shots	13 shots/match	13 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	5 shots/match
Expected goals	2.03 xG/match▲	1.46 xG/match
Possession	47%	53%●
Corners	11 corners/match●	4 corners/match
Fouls	12 fouls/match	19 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Arsenal

0Draws

1Tottenham Hotspur

15 Jan 2023Tottenham Hotspur — Arsenal · Premier League0–2

1 Oct 2022Arsenal — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League3–1

12 May 2022Tottenham Hotspur — Arsenal · Premier League3–0

26 Sept 2021Arsenal — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Arsenal favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Tottenham Hotspur in 3 · 5 too close

1.83 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 6/6▲2.5 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 6/61.17 goals/match

1.9 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 6/61.82 xG/match

0.92 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 6/61.5 xG/match

15.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 6/6▲19 shots/match

9.83 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 6/613.3 shots/match

6 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 6/6▲7.33 shots/match

2.5 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 6/65 shots/match

63%●Possessionseason · 6/660%

9.67 corners/match●Cornersseason · 6/66 corners/match

2.5 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 6/65.83 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

9.67 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/612.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/633%

100%Scoring frequencyseason · 6/6100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Arsenal87.5

Tottenham Hotspur77.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Arsenal72.5

Tottenham Hotspur88.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Arsenal90

Tottenham Hotspur52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Arsenal22.5

Tottenham Hotspur87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Arsenal12.5

Tottenham Hotspur82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Arsenal97.5

Tottenham Hotspur60

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Arsenal65.6

Tottenham Hotspur81.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Arsenal6 matchesTottenham Hotspur6 matches

1.83 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲2.5 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/61.17 goals/match

1.9 xG/matchExpected goals6/61.82 xG/match

15.2 shots/matchShots6/6▲19 shots/match

6 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲7.33 shots/match

63%●Possession6/660%

9.67 corners/match●Corners6/66 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9.67 fouls/matchFouls6/612.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Arsenal4 matchesTottenham Hotspur4 matches

2.25 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲2.75 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed4/41.5 goals/match

2.08 xG/match▲Expected goals4/41.77 xG/match

16 shots/matchShots4/4▲17.3 shots/match

7.25 shots/matchShots on target4/47 shots/match

62.8%●Possession4/458.5%

9.75 corners/match●Corners4/44 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9.5 fouls/matchFouls4/413 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.96 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples6 / 6home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 24 Sept 2023, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4