Premier League · 2023Sun, 24 Sept 2023, 13:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Chelsea

DLWLD

0–1Full-time recap

Aston Villa

LWWLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Chelsea: 10 shots, 4 on target, 1.36 xG. Aston Villa: 15 shots, 7 on target, 1.05 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Chelsea 1.36 xG · Aston Villa 1.05 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Chelsea

0Draws

1Aston Villa

1 Apr 2023Chelsea — Aston Villa · Premier League0–2

16 Oct 2022Aston Villa — Chelsea · Premier League0–2

26 Dec 2021Aston Villa — Chelsea · Premier League1–3

11 Sept 2021Chelsea — Aston Villa · Premier League3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Unavailable analysis

The retained evidence does not clear the minimum gates.

Sections that would imply a supported comparison are intentionally omitted.

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · Unavailableunavailable

Season samples6 / 6home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.
Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 24 Sept 2023, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4