PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Chelsea 0–1 Aston Villa · Premier League

Chelsea

DLWLD
0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Aston Villa won 0–1.

Shots
1015
Shots on target
47
Expected goals
1.331.07
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Aston Villa beat Chelsea 1–0. Recorded in this match (Chelsea – Aston Villa): shots 10–15, shots on target 4–7, expected goals 1.33–1.07, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Chelsea have recorded the higher season possession share.

67% ●PossessionChelsea · Aston Villa50%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricChelseaAston VillaBaseline
Possession67%50%49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots15 shotsChelsea 10 shots, Aston Villa 15 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots7 shotsChelsea 4 shots, Aston Villa 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.33 xG1.07 xGChelsea 1.33 xG, Aston Villa 1.07 xG
  • Possession53%47%Chelsea 53%, Aston Villa 47%
  • Corners5 corners11 cornersChelsea 5 corners, Aston Villa 11 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls11 foulsChelsea 9 fouls, Aston Villa 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Lucas Digne · Aston Villa · 20′ · 0.01 xG · on targetLucas Digne · Aston Villa · 40′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMatty Cash · Aston Villa · 30′ · 0.02 xG · on targetConor Gallagher · Chelsea · 48′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatty Cash · Aston Villa · 60′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatty Cash · Aston Villa · 63′ · 0.02 xG · on targetCole Palmer · Chelsea · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMoisés Caicedo · Chelsea · 5′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDouglas Luiz · Aston Villa · 38′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAxel Disasi · Chelsea · 77′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedArmando Broja · Chelsea · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDouglas Luiz · Aston Villa · 60′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Zaniolo · Aston Villa · 62′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMoussa Diaby · Aston Villa · 71′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedOllie Watkins · Aston Villa · 73′ · 0.10 xG · goalOllie Watkins · Aston Villa · 73′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Zaniolo · Aston Villa · 39′ · 0.11 xG · on targetJacob Ramsey · Aston Villa · 84′ · 0.12 xG · on targetMoussa Diaby · Aston Villa · 80′ · 0.13 xG · on targetRaheem Sterling · Chelsea · 47′ · 0.16 xG · on targetCole Palmer · Chelsea · 90′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedEzri Konsa · Aston Villa · 85′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedEnzo Fernández · Chelsea · 35′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedBen Chilwell · Chelsea · 75′ · 0.21 xG · on targetNicolas Jackson · Chelsea · 24′ · 0.50 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Chelsea: 10 shots, 4 on target, 1.36 xG. Aston Villa: 15 shots, 7 on target, 1.05 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Ollie Watkins · Aston Villa · 73′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Chelsea 1.36 xG · Aston Villa 1.05 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Chelsea
0Draws
1Aston Villa
Chelsea — Aston Villa · Premier League0–2
Aston Villa — Chelsea · Premier League0–2
Aston Villa — Chelsea · Premier League1–3
Chelsea — Aston Villa · Premier League3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Chelsea favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Aston Villa in 4 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Chelsea6 matchesAston Villa6 matches
0.83 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 2 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed6/61.67 goals/match
1.93 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 2.07 xG/match
15.2 shots/match ▲Shots6/614.2 shots/match
4.67 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 5.67 shots/match
67% ●Possession6/650%
6.33 corners/match ●Corners6/66 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls6/611.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 24 Sept 2023, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsChelseaAston Villa
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headChelsea — Aston Villa
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required