Premier League · 2023Sun, 24 Sept 2023, 13:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Brighton & Hove Albion

WWLWW

3–1Full-time recap

Bournemouth

DLLDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Brighton & Hove Albion	Bournemouth
Shots	13 shots/match▲	12 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match	4 shots/match
Expected goals	1.85 xG/match▲	1.14 xG/match
Possession	62%●	38%
Corners	4 corners/match	4 corners/match
Fouls	12 fouls/match	17 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Brighton & Hove Albion's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Brighton & Hove Albion have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Brighton & Hove Albion show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Brighton & Hove Albion's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.7 shots/match▲ShotsBrighton & Hove Albion · Bournemouth12.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Brighton & Hove Albion	Bournemouth	Baseline
Shots	17.7 shots/match	12.5 shots/match	14.1 shots/match
Shots against	12 shots/match	17.8 shots/match	12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Brighton & Hove Albion have recorded the higher season possession share.

62.8%●PossessionBrighton & Hove Albion · Bournemouth42.2%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 20.7 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Brighton & Hove Albion	Bournemouth	Baseline
Possession	62.8%	42.2%	49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Brighton & Hove Albion

0Draws

0Bournemouth

4 Apr 2023Bournemouth — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League0–2

4 Feb 2023Brighton & Hove Albion — Bournemouth · Premier League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Brighton & Hove Albion favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Bournemouth in 1 · 3 too close

3 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 6/60.83 goals/match

1.33 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 6/61.83 goals/match

2.09 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 6/61.27 xG/match

1.7 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 6/62.14 xG/match

17.7 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 6/612.5 shots/match

12 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 6/617.8 shots/match

8 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 6/64.33 shots/match

4.17 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 6/66 shots/match

62.8%●Possessionseason · 6/642.2%

6 corners/match●Cornersseason · 6/64.17 corners/match

5.17 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 6/65.33 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/614.2 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/6▲17%

100%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 6/667%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Brighton & Hove Albion82.5

Bournemouth27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Brighton & Hove Albion95.8

Bournemouth29.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Brighton & Hove Albion67.5

Bournemouth20.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Brighton & Hove Albion42.5

Bournemouth67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Brighton & Hove Albion40

Bournemouth97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Brighton & Hove Albion60

Bournemouth30

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Brighton & Hove Albion72.5

Bournemouth48.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Brighton & Hove Albion6 matchesBournemouth6 matches

3 goals/match▲Goals scored6/60.83 goals/match

1.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/61.83 goals/match

2.09 xG/match▲Expected goals6/61.27 xG/match

17.7 shots/match▲Shots6/612.5 shots/match

8 shots/match▲Shots on target6/64.33 shots/match

62.8%●Possession6/642.2%

6 corners/match●Corners6/64.17 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.2 fouls/matchFouls6/614.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Brighton & Hove Albion4 matchesBournemouth3 matches

2.75 goals/match▲Goals scored4/31.33 goals/match

1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/32.67 goals/match

2.16 xG/match▲Expected goals4/31.51 xG/match

20 shots/match▲Shots4/312.3 shots/match

8 shots/match▲Shots on target4/34.67 shots/match

66.8%●Possession4/337.3%

8 corners/match●Corners4/32.67 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.8 fouls/matchFouls4/314.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.96 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples6 / 6home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 24 Sept 2023, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4