PitchMath
Premier League · 2023Sun, 24 Sept 2023, 13:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
3–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricLiverpoolWest Ham United
Shots22 shots/match▲11 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match▲4 shots/match
Expected goals3.03 xG/match▲1.1 xG/match
Possession64%●36%
Corners7 corners/match●4 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match13 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Emerson Palmieri · West Ham United · 21′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLuis Díaz · Liverpool · 51′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 35′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCurtis Jones · Liverpool · 62′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 70′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPablo Fornals · West Ham United · 78′ · 0.02 xG · on targetCody Gakpo · Liverpool · 88′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPablo Fornals · West Ham United · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDominik Szoboszlai · Liverpool · 13′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Mac Allister · Liverpool · 28′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDominik Szoboszlai · Liverpool · 37′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCurtis Jones · Liverpool · 71′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNayef Aguerd · West Ham United · 42′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedVirgil van Dijk · Liverpool · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDominik Szoboszlai · Liverpool · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTomáš Souček · West Ham United · 25′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 32′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJarrod Bowen · West Ham United · 72′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedVirgil van Dijk · Liverpool · 26′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Jota · Liverpool · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJarrod Bowen · West Ham United · 42′ · 0.09 xG · goalCody Gakpo · Liverpool · 90′ · 0.11 xG · on targetTomáš Souček · West Ham United · 6′ · 0.12 xG · on targetMichail Antonio · West Ham United · 8′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 38′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedTomáš Souček · West Ham United · 40′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedVirgil van Dijk · Liverpool · 20′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 60′ · 0.24 xG · goalDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 53′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 45′ · 0.34 xG · on targetJarrod Bowen · West Ham United · 55′ · 0.43 xG · on targetDiogo Jota · Liverpool · 85′ · 0.45 xG · goalMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 16′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Liverpool: 22 shots, 7 on target, 3.07 xG. West Ham United: 11 shots, 4 on target, 1.14 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Mohamed Salah · Liverpool · 16′Darwin Núñez · Liverpool · 60′Diogo Jota · Liverpool · 85′Jarrod Bowen · West Ham United · 42′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Liverpool 3.07 xG · West Ham United 1.14 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Liverpool's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Liverpool's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Liverpool show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Liverpool's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.2 shots/match▲ShotsLiverpool · West Ham United11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLiverpoolWest Ham UnitedBaseline
Shots17.2 shots/match11 shots/match14.1 shots/match
Shots against12.8 shots/match20.5 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Liverpool have a visible home split

weak

Liverpool's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

21.7 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season17.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots21.7 shots/match17.2 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Liverpool have recorded the higher season possession share.

55.7%●PossessionLiverpool · West Ham United35.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 20.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLiverpoolWest Ham UnitedBaseline
Possession55.7%35.3%49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Liverpool
0Draws
1West Ham United
West Ham United — Liverpool · Premier League1–2
Liverpool — West Ham United · Premier League1–0
Liverpool — West Ham United · Premier League1–0
West Ham United — Liverpool · Premier League3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Liverpool favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · West Ham United in 0 · 3 too close

2.5 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 6/61.83 goals/match
0.83 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 6/61.67 goals/match
2.21 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 6/61.53 xG/match
1.17 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 6/62.25 xG/match
17.2 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 6/611 shots/match
12.8 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 6/620.5 shots/match
5.33 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 6/64.33 shots/match
4.33 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 6/67 shots/match
55.7%●Possessionseason · 6/635.3%
6.83 corners/match●Cornersseason · 6/64.17 corners/match
3.67 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 6/610.5 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
10.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/611.3 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
17%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/60%
100%Scoring frequencyseason · 6/6100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Liverpool72.5
West Ham United2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Liverpool75.8
West Ham United41.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Liverpool68.3
West Ham United17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Liverpool72.5
West Ham United77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Liverpool22.5
West Ham United50
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Liverpool87.5
West Ham United30
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Liverpool64.4
West Ham United35
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Liverpool6 matchesWest Ham United6 matches
2.5 goals/match▲Goals scored6/61.83 goals/match
0.83 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/61.67 goals/match
2.21 xG/match▲Expected goals6/61.53 xG/match
17.2 shots/match▲Shots6/611 shots/match
5.33 shots/match▲Shots on target6/64.33 shots/match
55.7%●Possession6/635.3%
6.83 corners/match●Corners6/64.17 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
10.3 fouls/matchFouls6/611.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Liverpool3 matchesWest Ham United4 matches
3 goals/match▲Goals scored3/41.75 goals/match
0.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/41.5 goals/match
2.86 xG/match▲Expected goals3/41.61 xG/match
21.7 shots/match▲Shots3/412 shots/match
7 shots/match▲Shots on target3/44.25 shots/match
64.3%●Possession3/439%
8 corners/match●Corners3/44.5 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.7 fouls/matchFouls3/412.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.06 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.96 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 24 Sept 2023, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsLiverpoolWest Ham United
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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