Premier League · 2023Sun, 29 Oct 2023, 15:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
03Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Jack Grealish · Manchester City · 20′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJack Grealish · Manchester City · 40′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBruno Fernandes · Manchester United · 48′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRodri · Manchester City · 16′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHarry Maguire · Manchester United · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJack Grealish · Manchester City · 74′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJulián Alvarez · Manchester City · 38′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJulián Alvarez · Manchester City · 63′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJulián Alvarez · Manchester City · 55′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRodri · Manchester City · 80′ · 0.05 xG · on targetErling Haaland · Manchester City · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedScott McTominay · Manchester United · 2′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJack Grealish · Manchester City · 58′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBernardo Silva · Manchester City · 66′ · 0.06 xG · on targetChristian Eriksen · Manchester United · 85′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMateo Kovačić · Manchester City · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJack Grealish · Manchester City · 57′ · 0.07 xG · on targetBruno Fernandes · Manchester United · 31′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedPhil Foden · Manchester City · 82′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedScott McTominay · Manchester United · 45′ · 0.15 xG · on targetPhil Foden · Manchester City · 48′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedPhil Foden · Manchester City · 8′ · 0.26 xG · on targetErling Haaland · Manchester City · 45′ · 0.40 xG · on targetErling Haaland · Manchester City · 71′ · 0.52 xG · on targetMarcus Rashford · Manchester United · 69′ · 0.56 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Manchester United: 7 shots, 3 on target, 0.96 xG. Manchester City: 18 shots, 7 on target, 2.05 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Manchester United 0.96 xG · Manchester City 2.05 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Manchester United
0Draws
3Manchester City
Manchester UnitedManchester City · Premier League21
Manchester CityManchester United · Premier League63
Manchester CityManchester United · Premier League41
Manchester UnitedManchester City · Premier League02

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Unavailable analysis

The retained evidence does not clear the minimum gates.

Sections that would imply a supported comparison are intentionally omitted.

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · Unavailableunavailable
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 29 Oct 2023, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4