PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Brighton & Hove Albion 1–1 Fulham · Premier League

1–1Historical match

Fulham

WDLWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Brighton & Hove Albion and Fulham drew 1–1.

Shots
1810
Shots on target
75
Expected goals
1.430.71
Possession
71%29%

Full time

What the match recorded

Brighton & Hove Albion and Fulham drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Brighton & Hove Albion – Fulham): shots 18–10, shots on target 7–5, expected goals 1.43–0.71, possession 71%–29%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Brighton & Hove Albion's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Brighton & Hove Albion's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.3 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match2.3 goals/match1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Brighton & Hove Albion have a visible home split

moderate

Brighton & Hove Albion's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

18.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots18.7 shots/match15.4 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Fulham show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Fulham's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15.4 shots/match ▲ShotsBrighton & Hove Albion · Fulham10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBrighton & Hove AlbionFulhamBaseline
Shots15.4 shots/match10.6 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots against12.5 shots/match12.5 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots10 shotsBrighton & Hove Albion 18 shots, Fulham 10 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots5 shotsBrighton & Hove Albion 7 shots, Fulham 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.43 xG0.71 xGBrighton & Hove Albion 1.43 xG, Fulham 0.71 xG
  • Possession71%29%Brighton & Hove Albion 71%, Fulham 29%
  • Corners7 corners3 cornersBrighton & Hove Albion 7 corners, Fulham 3 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls8 foulsBrighton & Hove Albion 12 fouls, Fulham 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Carlos Baleba · Brighton & Hove Albion · 8′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHarrison Reed · Fulham · 10′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAntonee Robinson · Fulham · 34′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Baleba · Brighton & Hove Albion · 7′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSimon Adingra · Brighton & Hove Albion · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlex Iwobi · Fulham · 63′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJoël Veltman · Brighton & Hove Albion · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetWillian · Fulham · 53′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAdam Webster · Brighton & Hove Albion · 88′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAndreas Pereira · Fulham · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetEvan Ferguson · Brighton & Hove Albion · 40′ · 0.05 xG · on targetCarlos Baleba · Brighton & Hove Albion · 60′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBilly Gilmour · Brighton & Hove Albion · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIgor Júlio · Brighton & Hove Albion · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAndreas Pereira · Fulham · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLewis Dunk · Brighton & Hove Albion · 49′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFacundo Buonanotte · Brighton & Hove Albion · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Baleba · Brighton & Hove Albion · 13′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedKaoru Mitoma · Brighton & Hove Albion · 17′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedBobby De Cordova-Reid · Fulham · 38′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedSimon Adingra · Brighton & Hove Albion · 8′ · 0.12 xG · on targetJoão Palhinha · Fulham · 65′ · 0.12 xG · goalRodrigo Muniz · Fulham · 68′ · 0.13 xG · on targetPascal Groß · Brighton & Hove Albion · 69′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedEvan Ferguson · Brighton & Hove Albion · 26′ · 0.15 xG · goalAnsu Fati · Brighton & Hove Albion · 82′ · 0.17 xG · on targetJoão Pedro · Brighton & Hove Albion · 90′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedAndreas Pereira · Fulham · 90′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Brighton & Hove Albion: 18 shots, 6 on target, 1.42 xG. Fulham: 10 shots, 5 on target, 0.71 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Evan Ferguson · Brighton & Hove Albion · 26′João Palhinha · Fulham · 65′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Brighton & Hove Albion 1.42 xG · Fulham 0.71 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Brighton & Hove Albion
0Draws
2Fulham
Brighton & Hove Albion — Fulham · Premier League0–1
Fulham — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Brighton & Hove Albion favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Fulham in 2 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Brighton & Hove Albion10 matchesFulham10 matches
2.3 goals/match ▲Goals scored10/100.9 goals/match
1.9 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲ 1.6 goals/match
1.89 xG/match ▲Expected goals10/101.06 xG/match
15.4 shots/match ▲Shots10/1010.6 shots/match
6.4 shots/match ▲Shots on target10/103.5 shots/match
60.1% ●Possession10/1049.1%
5.6 corners/match ●Corners10/105 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 29 Oct 2023, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBrighton & Hove AlbionFulham
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headBrighton & Hove Albion — Fulham
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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