PitchMath
Premier League · 2023Mon, 23 Oct 2023, 19:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
2–0Full-time recap

Fulham

LWDLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricTottenham HotspurFulham
Shots15 shots/match▲10 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Expected goals1.53 xG/match▲1.03 xG/match
Possession56%●44%
Corners3 corners/match5 corners/match●
Fouls10 fouls/match14 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Bobby De Cordova-Reid · Fulham · 1′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJoão Palhinha · Fulham · 12′ · 0.01 xG · on targetPedro Porro · Tottenham Hotspur · 40′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSaša Lukić · Fulham · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJames Maddison · Tottenham Hotspur · 34′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSon Heung-min · Tottenham Hotspur · 70′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRicharlison · Tottenham Hotspur · 75′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlex Iwobi · Fulham · 85′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDejan Kulusevski · Tottenham Hotspur · 9′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRicharlison · Tottenham Hotspur · 52′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPierre-Emile Højbjerg · Tottenham Hotspur · 27′ · 0.05 xG · on targetCarlos Vinícius · Fulham · 18′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJoão Palhinha · Fulham · 42′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTom Cairney · Fulham · 87′ · 0.07 xG · on targetMicky van de Ven · Tottenham Hotspur · 7′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSon Heung-min · Tottenham Hotspur · 31′ · 0.09 xG · on targetDestiny Udogie · Tottenham Hotspur · 40′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedRicharlison · Tottenham Hotspur · 30′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedHarry Wilson · Fulham · 90′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedJames Maddison · Tottenham Hotspur · 75′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedHarry Wilson · Fulham · 90′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedDejan Kulusevski · Tottenham Hotspur · 40′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedSon Heung-min · Tottenham Hotspur · 36′ · 0.20 xG · goalJames Maddison · Tottenham Hotspur · 54′ · 0.42 xG · goalRaúl Jiménez · Fulham · 84′ · 0.47 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Tottenham Hotspur: 15 shots, 5 on target, 1.54 xG. Fulham: 10 shots, 3 on target, 1.03 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Son Heung-min · Tottenham Hotspur · 36′James Maddison · Tottenham Hotspur · 54′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Tottenham Hotspur 1.54 xG · Fulham 1.03 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Fulham's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: Tottenham Hotspur's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Fulham have a visible away split

moderate

Fulham's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.6 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season10.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.6 shots/match10.7 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Tottenham Hotspur's recent record differs from the season

weak

Tottenham Hotspur's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.22 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match2.22 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Tottenham Hotspur show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Tottenham Hotspur's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

18.7 shots/match▲ShotsTottenham Hotspur · Fulham10.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricTottenham HotspurFulhamBaseline
Shots18.7 shots/match10.7 shots/match13.8 shots/match
Shots against12.7 shots/match11.9 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Tottenham Hotspur
0Draws
0Fulham
Fulham — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League0–1
Tottenham Hotspur — Fulham · Premier League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Tottenham Hotspur favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Fulham in 2 · 2 too close

2.22 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 9/90.89 goals/match
0.89 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 9/91.67 goals/match
1.85 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 9/91.09 xG/match
1.35 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 9/91.92 xG/match
18.7 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 9/910.7 shots/match
12.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 9/9▲11.9 shots/match
6.78 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 9/93.33 shots/match
4.33 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 9/95.44 shots/match
60.9%●Possessionseason · 9/951.3%
6.22 corners/match●Cornersseason · 9/95.22 corners/match
5.56 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 9/9▲4.44 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
11.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/910.4 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
44%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 9/933%
100%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 9/956%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Tottenham Hotspur87.5
Fulham57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Tottenham Hotspur91.7
Fulham17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Tottenham Hotspur69.2
Fulham45.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Tottenham Hotspur72.5
Fulham7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Tottenham Hotspur55
Fulham17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Tottenham Hotspur82.5
Fulham47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Tottenham Hotspur83.1
Fulham23.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Tottenham Hotspur9 matchesFulham9 matches
2.22 goals/match▲Goals scored9/90.89 goals/match
0.89 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/91.67 goals/match
1.85 xG/match▲Expected goals9/91.09 xG/match
18.7 shots/match▲Shots9/910.7 shots/match
6.78 shots/match▲Shots on target9/93.33 shots/match
60.9%●Possession9/951.3%
6.22 corners/match●Corners9/95.22 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.3 fouls/matchFouls9/910.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Tottenham Hotspur4 matchesFulham5 matches
2 goals/match▲Goals scored4/50.8 goals/match
0.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/51.8 goals/match
1.91 xG/match▲Expected goals4/51.03 xG/match
21 shots/match▲Shots4/58.6 shots/match
7.25 shots/match▲Shots on target4/53.4 shots/match
61.8%●Possession4/542.6%
8.5 corners/match●Corners4/53.8 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
10.8 fouls/matchFouls4/510.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

16.3 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/116.2 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 23 Oct 2023, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsTottenham HotspurFulham
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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