Premier League · 2023Sat, 21 Oct 2023, 19:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Sheffield United

DLLLL

1–2Full-time recap

Manchester United

LLWLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Sheffield United	Manchester United
Shots	12 shots/match	14 shots/match▲
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	5 shots/match
Expected goals	1.42 xG/match▲	1.1 xG/match
Possession	38%	62%●
Corners	5 corners/match●	4 corners/match
Fouls	12 fouls/match	10 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Sheffield United: 12 shots, 6 on target, 1.46 xG. Manchester United: 14 shots, 5 on target, 1.13 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sheffield United 1.46 xG · Manchester United 1.13 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Manchester United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Sheffield United's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Manchester United show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Manchester United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.22 shots/match▲ShotsSheffield United · Manchester United16 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Sheffield United	Manchester United	Baseline
Shots	9.22 shots/match	16 shots/match	13.8 shots/match
Shots against	21.1 shots/match	13.2 shots/match	13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Sheffield United's recent record differs from the season

weak

Sheffield United's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.78 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.6 goals/match	0.78 goals/match	1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Manchester United have recorded the higher season possession share.

38.4%PossessionSheffield United · Manchester United●54.6%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.1 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Sheffield United	Manchester United	Baseline
Possession	38.4%	54.6%	49.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Sheffield United favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Manchester United in 11 · 2 too close

0.78 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 9/9▲1.22 goals/match

2.67 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 9/9▲1.44 goals/match

0.84 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 9/9▲1.53 xG/match

2.33 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 9/9▲1.51 xG/match

9.22 shots/matchShotsseason · 9/9▲16 shots/match

21.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 9/9▲13.2 shots/match

3.33 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 9/9▲5 shots/match

8 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 9/9▲4.89 shots/match

38.4%Possessionseason · 9/9●54.6%

3.78 corners/matchCornersseason · 9/9●6.89 corners/match

7.67 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 9/9▲5.67 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/910.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 9/9▲22%

67%Scoring frequencyseason · 9/9▲78%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sheffield United12.5

Manchester United67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sheffield United9.2

Manchester United64.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sheffield United2.5

Manchester United43.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sheffield United17.5

Manchester United62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sheffield United67.5

Manchester United17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sheffield United7.5

Manchester United92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sheffield United22.5

Manchester United64.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Sheffield United9 matchesManchester United9 matches

0.78 goals/matchGoals scored9/9▲1.22 goals/match

2.67 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲1.44 goals/match

0.84 xG/matchExpected goals9/9▲1.53 xG/match

9.22 shots/matchShots9/9▲16 shots/match

3.33 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲5 shots/match

38.4%Possession9/9●54.6%

3.78 corners/matchCorners9/9●6.89 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.8 fouls/matchFouls9/910.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Sheffield United5 matchesManchester United4 matches

0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/4▲1 goals/match

3 goals/matchGoals allowed5/4▲1.5 goals/match

0.95 xG/matchExpected goals5/4▲1.27 xG/match

9.6 shots/matchShots5/4▲14.3 shots/match

3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/4▲4.25 shots/match

35.6%Possession5/4●47.3%

3.4 corners/matchCorners5/4●4.5 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.8 fouls/matchFouls5/49.25 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114.2 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples9 / 9home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Oct 2023, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4