PitchMath
Premier League · 2023Sat, 25 Nov 2023, 15:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
1–3Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSheffield UnitedBournemouth
Shots10 shots/match23 shots/match▲
Shots on target2 shots/match11 shots/match▲
Expected goals0.78 xG/match2.86 xG/match▲
Possession46%54%●
Corners4 corners/match7 corners/match●
Fouls6 fouls/match8 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Antoine Semenyo · Bournemouth · 10′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Tavernier · Bournemouth · 23′ · 0.01 xG · on targetLuke Thomas · Sheffield United · 36′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Semenyo · Bournemouth · 46′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Tavernier · Bournemouth · 78′ · 0.02 xG · on targetOli McBurnie · Sheffield United · 84′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedWilliam Osula · Sheffield United · 85′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJustin Kluivert · Bournemouth · 26′ · 0.03 xG · on targetOliver Norwood · Sheffield United · 44′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLuis Sinisterra · Bournemouth · 81′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJustin Kluivert · Bournemouth · 19′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDominic Solanke · Bournemouth · 29′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Semenyo · Bournemouth · 54′ · 0.04 xG · on targetWilliam Osula · Sheffield United · 88′ · 0.04 xG · on targetWilliam Osula · Sheffield United · 83′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDominic Solanke · Bournemouth · 21′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJustin Kluivert · Bournemouth · 61′ · 0.06 xG · on targetLuis Sinisterra · Bournemouth · 87′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Tavernier · Bournemouth · 14′ · 0.08 xG · on targetDominic Solanke · Bournemouth · 28′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedOli McBurnie · Sheffield United · 54′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJames McAtee · Sheffield United · 60′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMiloš Kerkez · Bournemouth · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedRyan Christie · Bournemouth · 63′ · 0.11 xG · on targetPhilip Billing · Bournemouth · 68′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedLuis Sinisterra · Bournemouth · 74′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedOli McBurnie · Sheffield United · 60′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Tavernier · Bournemouth · 45′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedJustin Kluivert · Bournemouth · 45′ · 0.24 xG · goalOli McBurnie · Sheffield United · 90′ · 0.29 xG · goalMarcus Tavernier · Bournemouth · 51′ · 0.40 xG · goalDominic Solanke · Bournemouth · 54′ · 0.48 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Tavernier · Bournemouth · 12′ · 0.51 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sheffield United: 10 shots, 2 on target, 0.79 xG. Bournemouth: 23 shots, 11 on target, 2.88 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Oli McBurnie · Sheffield United · 90′Marcus Tavernier · Bournemouth · 12′Justin Kluivert · Bournemouth · 45′Marcus Tavernier · Bournemouth · 51′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sheffield United 0.79 xG · Bournemouth 2.88 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Bournemouth's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Bournemouth's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Bournemouth's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bournemouth's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.08 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.08 goals/match1.4 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bournemouth show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Bournemouth's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

8.85 shots/match▲ShotsSheffield United · Bournemouth12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSheffield UnitedBournemouthBaseline
Shots8.85 shots/match12.4 shots/match13.5 shots/match
Shots against19 shots/match16.4 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Sheffield United
1Draws
1Bournemouth
Sheffield United — Bournemouth · Championship0–0
Bournemouth — Sheffield United · Championship2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Sheffield United favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Bournemouth in 10 · 3 too close

0.85 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 13/13▲1.08 goals/match
2.62 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 13/13▲2.15 goals/match
0.8 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 13/13▲1.3 xG/match
2.27 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 13/13▲1.93 xG/match
8.85 shots/matchShotsseason · 13/13▲12.4 shots/match
19 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 13/13▲16.4 shots/match
2.69 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 13/13▲4.85 shots/match
7.69 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 13/13▲5.92 shots/match
38.6%Possessionseason · 13/13●43.3%
3.54 corners/matchCornersseason · 13/13●5 corners/match
7.08 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 13/13▲6.46 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
11.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 13/1312.5 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 13/13▲15%
69%Scoring frequencyseason · 13/1369%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sheffield United7.5
Bournemouth27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sheffield United6.7
Bournemouth41.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sheffield United2.5
Bournemouth11.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sheffield United17.5
Bournemouth77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sheffield United72.5
Bournemouth92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sheffield United2.5
Bournemouth45
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sheffield United20.6
Bournemouth58.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Sheffield United13 matchesBournemouth13 matches
0.85 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲1.08 goals/match
2.62 goals/matchGoals allowed13/13▲2.15 goals/match
0.8 xG/matchExpected goals13/13▲1.3 xG/match
8.85 shots/matchShots13/13▲12.4 shots/match
2.69 shots/matchShots on target13/13▲4.85 shots/match
38.6%Possession13/13●43.3%
3.54 corners/matchCorners13/13●5 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.8 fouls/matchFouls13/1312.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Sheffield United7 matchesBournemouth6 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored7/6▲1.33 goals/match
2.71 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/63 goals/match
0.94 xG/matchExpected goals7/6▲1.5 xG/match
9.86 shots/matchShots7/6▲12.7 shots/match
3.14 shots/matchShots on target7/6▲5 shots/match
37.4%Possession7/6●42.3%
3.57 corners/matchCorners7/6●3.83 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.9 fouls/matchFouls7/612.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

13 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113.9 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Nov 2023, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsSheffield UnitedBournemouth
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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