PitchMath
Premier League · 2023Sat, 2 Dec 2023, 15:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Burnley

LLLLL
5–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBurnleySheffield United
Shots19 shots/match▲6 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Expected goals1.81 xG/match▲0.39 xG/match
Possession64%●36%
Corners6 corners/match●1 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Gustavo Hamer · Sheffield United · 13′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJosh Brownhill · Burnley · 90′ · 0.01 xG · on targetOliver Norwood · Sheffield United · 20′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJacob Bruun Larsen · Burnley · 40′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDara O'Shea · Burnley · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJacob Bruun Larsen · Burnley · 12′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJacob Bruun Larsen · Burnley · 46′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedWilliam Osula · Sheffield United · 87′ · 0.04 xG · on targetLuca Koleosho · Burnley · 54′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJosh Brownhill · Burnley · 80′ · 0.05 xG · goalZeki Amdouni · Burnley · 74′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMichael Obafemi · Burnley · 78′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJóhann Guðmundsson · Burnley · 89′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedVitinho · Burnley · 63′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedVitinho · Burnley · 86′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedWilliam Osula · Sheffield United · 69′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJay Rodriguez · Burnley · 10′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedCameron Archer · Sheffield United · 31′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedLuca Koleosho · Burnley · 75′ · 0.11 xG · goalJay Rodriguez · Burnley · 1′ · 0.12 xG · goalWilliam Osula · Sheffield United · 68′ · 0.12 xG · on targetJordan Beyer · Burnley · 89′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedZeki Amdouni · Burnley · 73′ · 0.20 xG · goalLuca Koleosho · Burnley · 74′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedJacob Bruun Larsen · Burnley · 29′ · 0.40 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Burnley: 19 shots, 7 on target, 1.81 xG. Sheffield United: 6 shots, 3 on target, 0.39 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Jay Rodriguez · Burnley · 1′Jacob Bruun Larsen · Burnley · 29′Zeki Amdouni · Burnley · 73′Luca Koleosho · Burnley · 75′Josh Brownhill · Burnley · 80′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Burnley 1.81 xG · Sheffield United 0.39 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Burnley's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Burnley's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Burnley's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Burnley's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.07 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.07 goals/match1.46 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Burnley have a visible home split

moderate

Burnley's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12.5 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.5 shots/match10.9 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Sheffield United show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Sheffield United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.9 shots/match▲ShotsBurnley · Sheffield United8.64 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBurnleySheffield UnitedBaseline
Shots10.9 shots/match8.64 shots/match13.5 shots/match
Shots against14.2 shots/match19 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Burnley
0Draws
1Sheffield United
Burnley — Sheffield United · Championship2–0
Sheffield United — Burnley · Championship5–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Burnley favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Sheffield United in 0 · 3 too close

1.07 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 14/140.79 goals/match
2.29 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 14/142.79 goals/match
0.93 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 14/140.78 xG/match
1.72 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 14/142.23 xG/match
10.9 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 14/148.64 shots/match
14.2 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 14/1419 shots/match
3.5 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 14/142.71 shots/match
5.71 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 14/147.64 shots/match
51%●Possessionseason · 14/1438.4%
5.79 corners/match●Cornersseason · 14/143.36 corners/match
5.36 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 14/147 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
10.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/1411.9 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
7%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/140%
64%Scoring frequencyseason · 14/1464%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Burnley52.5
Sheffield United7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Burnley15
Sheffield United4.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Burnley17.5
Sheffield United2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Burnley2.5
Sheffield United12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Burnley22.5
Sheffield United72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Burnley72.5
Sheffield United2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Burnley28.8
Sheffield United21.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Burnley14 matchesSheffield United14 matches
1.07 goals/match▲Goals scored14/140.79 goals/match
2.29 goals/match▲Goals allowed14/142.79 goals/match
0.93 xG/match▲Expected goals14/140.78 xG/match
10.9 shots/match▲Shots14/148.64 shots/match
3.5 shots/match▲Shots on target14/142.71 shots/match
51%●Possession14/1438.4%
5.79 corners/match●Corners14/143.36 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
10.6 fouls/matchFouls14/1411.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Burnley8 matchesSheffield United7 matches
1.25 goals/match▲Goals scored8/70.57 goals/match
2.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/72.86 goals/match
1.06 xG/match▲Expected goals8/70.61 xG/match
12.5 shots/match▲Shots8/77.43 shots/match
3.88 shots/match▲Shots on target8/72.29 shots/match
52.5%●Possession8/739.4%
6.88 corners/match●Corners8/73.14 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
10.6 fouls/matchFouls8/711.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 Dec 2023, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsBurnleySheffield United
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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