Premier League · 2023

Wolverhampton 1–0 Burnley · Premier League

1–0Historical match

Burnley

LLLLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Wolverhampton won 1–0.

Shots
712
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
0.830.87
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Wolverhampton beat Burnley 1–0. Recorded in this match (Wolverhampton – Burnley): shots 7–12, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 0.83–0.87, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Burnley's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Burnley's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1 goal/match1.45 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Wolverhampton, Burnley.

3.19 days ▲Rest daysWolverhampton · Burnley3.19 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricWolverhamptonBurnleyBaseline
Rest days3.19 days3.19 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Burnley have a visible away split

moderate

Burnley's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.14 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.14 shots/match10.9 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots12 shotsWolverhampton 7 shots, Burnley 12 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsWolverhampton 4 shots, Burnley 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.83 xG0.87 xGWolverhampton 0.83 xG, Burnley 0.87 xG
  • Possession51%49%Wolverhampton 51%, Burnley 49%
  • Corners5 corners8 cornersWolverhampton 5 corners, Burnley 8 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls15 foulsWolverhampton 11 fouls, Burnley 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Charlie Taylor · Burnley · 24′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedVitinho · Burnley · 51′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMatheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 76′ · 0.01 xG · on targetPablo Sarabia · Wolverhampton · 25′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJacob Bruun Larsen · Burnley · 59′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJosh Brownhill · Burnley · 18′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedZeki Amdouni · Burnley · 24′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJacob Bruun Larsen · Burnley · 35′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLuca Koleosho · Burnley · 20′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPablo Sarabia · Wolverhampton · 70′ · 0.05 xG · on targetZeki Amdouni · Burnley · 32′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJosh Brownhill · Burnley · 38′ · 0.06 xG · on targetVitinho · Burnley · 78′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMike Trésor · Burnley · 81′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedHwang Hee-chan · Wolverhampton · 70′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedPablo Sarabia · Wolverhampton · 27′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedHwang Hee-chan · Wolverhampton · 42′ · 0.18 xG · goalMario Lemina · Wolverhampton · 55′ · 0.32 xG · off target or blockedJay Rodriguez · Burnley · 38′ · 0.41 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Wolverhampton: 7 shots, 4 on target, 0.81 xG. Burnley: 12 shots, 3 on target, 0.87 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Hwang Hee-chan · Wolverhampton · 42′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Wolverhampton 0.81 xG · Burnley 0.87 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Wolverhampton
1Draws
1Burnley
Burnley — Wolverhampton · Premier League1–0
Wolverhampton — Burnley · Premier League0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Wolverhampton favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Burnley in 3 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Wolverhampton15 matchesBurnley15 matches
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored15/151 goal/match
1.67 goals/match ▲Goals allowed15/152.2 goals/match
1.32 xG/match ▲Expected goals15/150.93 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots15/1510.9 shots/match
3.93 shots/match ▲Shots on target15/153.47 shots/match
47.2%Possession15/15● 50.9%
4.2 corners/matchCorners15/15● 5.93 corners/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls15/1510.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 5 Dec 2023, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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