PitchMath
Premier League · 2023Wed, 6 Dec 2023, 19:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
0–2Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSheffield UnitedLiverpool
Shots6 shots/match15 shots/match▲
Shots on target1 shots/match8 shots/match▲
Expected goals0.99 xG/match1.69 xG/match▲
Possession24%76%●
Corners2 corners/match12 corners/match●
Fouls12 fouls/match8 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Harvey Elliott · Liverpool · 82′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 11′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTrent Alexander-Arnold · Liverpool · 42′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Mac Allister · Liverpool · 45′ · 0.02 xG · on targetVirgil van Dijk · Liverpool · 21′ · 0.04 xG · on targetVirgil van Dijk · Liverpool · 40′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJames McAtee · Sheffield United · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJoe Gomez · Liverpool · 77′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCameron Archer · Sheffield United · 18′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIbrahima Konaté · Liverpool · 23′ · 0.06 xG · on targetCameron Archer · Sheffield United · 89′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 45′ · 0.08 xG · on targetCameron Archer · Sheffield United · 87′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedCurtis Jones · Liverpool · 83′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 10′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedVirgil van Dijk · Liverpool · 37′ · 0.16 xG · goalMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 56′ · 0.17 xG · on targetCameron Archer · Sheffield United · 90′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blockedDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 77′ · 0.32 xG · on targetJames McAtee · Sheffield United · 12′ · 0.37 xG · on targetDominik Szoboszlai · Liverpool · 90′ · 0.46 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sheffield United: 6 shots, 1 on target, 0.94 xG. Liverpool: 15 shots, 8 on target, 1.69 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Virgil van Dijk · Liverpool · 37′Dominik Szoboszlai · Liverpool · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sheffield United 0.94 xG · Liverpool 1.69 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Liverpool's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Liverpool. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Liverpool show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Liverpool's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

8.47 shots/match▲ShotsSheffield United · Liverpool17.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSheffield UnitedLiverpoolBaseline
Shots8.47 shots/match17.7 shots/match13.6 shots/match
Shots against18.7 shots/match12.3 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Liverpool.

4.19 days▲Rest daysSheffield United · Liverpool3.23 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSheffield UnitedLiverpoolBaseline
Rest days4.19 days3.23 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Liverpool have a visible away split

moderate

Liverpool's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

13.9 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season17.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.9 shots/match17.7 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Sheffield United favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Liverpool in 11 · 2 too close

0.73 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 15/15▲2.27 goals/match
2.73 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 15/15▲0.93 goals/match
0.79 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 15/15▲2.09 xG/match
2.2 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 15/15▲1.21 xG/match
8.47 shots/matchShotsseason · 15/15▲17.7 shots/match
18.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 15/15▲12.3 shots/match
2.6 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 15/15▲6.2 shots/match
7.67 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 15/15▲3.87 shots/match
37.5%Possessionseason · 15/15●58.9%
3.27 corners/matchCornersseason · 15/15●6.73 corners/match
7.33 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 15/15▲5 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
11.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 15/1511.4 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 15/15▲33%
60%Scoring frequencyseason · 15/15▲100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sheffield United7.5
Liverpool77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sheffield United2.5
Liverpool90.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sheffield United2.5
Liverpool76.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sheffield United12.5
Liverpool82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sheffield United77.5
Liverpool62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sheffield United2.5
Liverpool87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sheffield United21.2
Liverpool84.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Sheffield United15 matchesLiverpool15 matches
0.73 goals/matchGoals scored15/15▲2.27 goals/match
2.73 goals/matchGoals allowed15/15▲0.93 goals/match
0.79 xG/matchExpected goals15/15▲2.09 xG/match
8.47 shots/matchShots15/15▲17.7 shots/match
2.6 shots/matchShots on target15/15▲6.2 shots/match
37.5%Possession15/15●58.9%
3.27 corners/matchCorners15/15●6.73 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.9 fouls/matchFouls15/1511.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Sheffield United8 matchesLiverpool8 matches
0.88 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲1.63 goals/match
2.63 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲1.13 goals/match
0.94 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲1.68 xG/match
9.38 shots/matchShots8/8▲13.9 shots/match
2.88 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲4.5 shots/match
35.8%Possession8/8●52.5%
3.38 corners/matchCorners8/8●6 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.9 fouls/matchFouls8/812 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.19 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.23 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 6 Dec 2023, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsSheffield UnitedLiverpool
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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