Premier League · 2023Sat, 9 Dec 2023, 15:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
10Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSheffield UnitedBrentford
Shots9 shots/match10 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match4 shots/match
Expected goals0.81 xG/match0.66 xG/match
Possession40%60%
Corners3 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match13 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Gustavo Hamer · Sheffield United · 41′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJames McAtee · Sheffield United · 45′ · 0.02 xG · goalYehor Yarmoliuk · Brentford · 51′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAnis Ben Slimane · Sheffield United · 59′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAuston Trusty · Sheffield United · 2′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFrank Onyeka · Brentford · 36′ · 0.04 xG · on targetCameron Archer · Sheffield United · 86′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedChristian Nørgaard · Brentford · 68′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFrank Onyeka · Brentford · 37′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedWilliam Osula · Sheffield United · 37′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedYoane Wissa · Brentford · 80′ · 0.06 xG · on targetNeal Maupay · Brentford · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedEthan Pinnock · Brentford · 68′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedBen Mee · Brentford · 88′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedChristian Nørgaard · Brentford · 45′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedYoane Wissa · Brentford · 68′ · 0.11 xG · on targetCameron Archer · Sheffield United · 80′ · 0.13 xG · on targetAnis Ben Slimane · Sheffield United · 82′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedAnis Ben Slimane · Sheffield United · 56′ · 0.36 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sheffield United: 9 shots, 4 on target, 0.84 xG. Brentford: 10 shots, 4 on target, 0.68 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′James McAtee · Sheffield United · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sheffield United 0.84 xG · Brentford 0.68 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Brentford's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Sheffield United, Brentford. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Brentford's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Brentford's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.44 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.44 goals/match1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Sheffield United, Brentford.

2.81 daysRest daysSheffield United · Brentford2.81 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSheffield UnitedBrentfordBaseline
Rest days2.81 days2.81 days
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Brentford show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Brentford's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

8.5 shots/matchShotsSheffield United · Brentford14.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSheffield UnitedBrentfordBaseline
Shots8.5 shots/match14.3 shots/match13.6 shots/match
Shots against18.2 shots/match13.1 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Sheffield United favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Brentford in 11 · 2 too close

0.75 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 16/161.44 goals/match
2.56 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 16/161.38 goals/match
0.79 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 16/161.86 xG/match
2.1 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 16/161.3 xG/match
8.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 16/1614.3 shots/match
18.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 16/1613.1 shots/match
2.69 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 16/164.44 shots/match
7.44 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 16/164.13 shots/match
37.6%Possessionseason · 16/1648.6%
3.25 corners/matchCornersseason · 16/164.56 corners/match
7.06 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 16/165.38 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
12 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/1610.8 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
6%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/1619%
63%Scoring frequencyseason · 16/1675%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sheffield United7.5
Brentford42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sheffield United4.2
Brentford50.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sheffield United2.5
Brentford59.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sheffield United12.5
Brentford87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sheffield United77.5
Brentford25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sheffield United2.5
Brentford22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sheffield United22.5
Brentford36.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Sheffield United16 matchesBrentford16 matches
0.75 goals/matchGoals scored16/161.44 goals/match
2.56 goals/matchGoals allowed16/161.38 goals/match
0.79 xG/matchExpected goals16/161.86 xG/match
8.5 shots/matchShots16/1614.3 shots/match
2.69 shots/matchShots on target16/164.44 shots/match
37.6%Possession16/1648.6%
3.25 corners/matchCorners16/164.56 corners/match
Cards0/0
12 fouls/matchFouls16/1610.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Sheffield United9 matchesBrentford8 matches
0.89 goals/matchGoals scored9/81 goals/match
2.33 goals/matchGoals allowed9/81.25 goals/match
0.93 xG/matchExpected goals9/81.63 xG/match
9.33 shots/matchShots9/812.3 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target9/84 shots/match
36.2%Possession9/844.4%
3.33 corners/matchCorners9/84.88 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.1 fouls/matchFouls9/811.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

2.81 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/12.81 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 9 Dec 2023, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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